Serie A · resolved market
Atalanta BC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf78c8a8c8ebd3ab4dc1c25b87aac4a1c88ef48f03cb9cd5f108db928359abcab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 48c | 9,774$4,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,060.9 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 48c | 5,386$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.32 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 4,565$2,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.15 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 3,880$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.82 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 55c | 2,374$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.7 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 1,691$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.9 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…c790backed Over | 21c | 1,498$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 44c | 1,294$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.73 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 56c | 1,173$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.35 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…6854backed Under | 47c | 1,090$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 886.33$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.4 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 53c | 648.4$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.65 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 44c | 623.69$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.03 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 50c | 611$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.5 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 49c | 610.98$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.38 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 47c | 599.99$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 59c | 509$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.87 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 28c | 360$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 29c | 350.8$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.14 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84e…b62dbacked Over | 55c | 344.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 54c | 332.76$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.76 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 56c | 269$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.64 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 22c | 254.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 45c | 240$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 55c | 239.46$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.57 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad9…4859backed Over | 55c | 234.55$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Over | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -7.1wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 52c | 203.04$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.09 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Over | 53c | 188.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 55c | 178.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Over | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 45c | 159.67$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.87 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over | 37c | 118$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Under | 50c | 116.4$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 47c | 104.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…0319backed Over | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 34c | 100.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 47c | 91.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 35c | 86.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 57c | 81.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Over | 57c | 69.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -4.1wins | -0.45per pick | 56cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 65.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 46c | 64.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 46c | 60.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 57c | 51.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e73…27a3backed Over | 57c | 46.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 46c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 56c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 51c | 38.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 33c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 43c | 34.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 56c | 32.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…291fbacked Under | 43c | 30.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 45c | 30.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…c3b0backed Under | 46c | 28.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 47c | 28.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 68c | 27.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Over | 55c | 27.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2287…3054backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5this page
- Atalanta BC vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Atalanta BC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.