MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35ef824e54f36f5ca1677f3b42b3e584d2b787dca85c0899508d470217055143
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 62c | 11,845$7,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,443.24 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 53c | 4,610$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.79 | 849 | 49.1%417 W · 432 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 41c | 4,039$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.47 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Under | 55c | 3,897$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.24 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…bf06backed Under | 56c | 2,956$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.29 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Under | 56c | 2,739$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.52 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 57c | 2,685$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.35 | 881 | 53.7%473 W · 408 L | +40.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 54c | 2,670$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.3 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 37c | 2,667$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.43 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 44c | 2,440$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.44 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 45c | 2,418$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.63 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Over | 47c | 2,083$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.1 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 2,030$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.12 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Over | 45c | 1,850$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.31 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 41c | 1,437$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.58 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 34c | 1,284$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.09 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 52c | 1,184$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.92 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Over | 46c | 1,165$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.09 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 55c | 1,098$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.65 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Over | 44c | 1,062$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.86 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 44c | 1,010$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.83 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 47c | 1,008$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.39 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +173.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea9…0924backed Under | 37c | 975.31$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.2 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 859.6$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.25 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over | 59c | 826.09$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.37 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 46c | 817.25$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.2 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 1c | 795.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 57c | 769.11$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.39 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Under | 37c | 747.21$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.87 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 746.11$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.03 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 52c | 718.93$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.09 | 301 | 50.8%153 W · 148 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 45c | 715.57$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.5 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 44c | 684.25$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.89 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 57c | 683.65$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.68 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 30c | 638.98$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.88 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 55c | 637$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.35 | 274 | 49.3%135 W · 139 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 46c | 626.49$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.31 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 42c | 621$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.59 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Over | 45c | 580.2$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.11 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 53c | 577.21$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.83 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 43c | 514.12$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.82 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 512.84$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.89 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 45c | 483.5$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.93 | 411 | 41.4%170 W · 241 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 45c | 457.37$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.43 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 42c | 431.03$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 296 | 47.3%140 W · 156 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Over | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Under | 40c | 427.58$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.31 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 58c | 420.17$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.7 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed Under | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 43c | 391.55$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.96 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 44c | 386.03$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.18 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 40c | 370.44$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.45 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 44c | 358.82$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.53 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Under | 53c | 351.28$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.18 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 37c | 293.47$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.58 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 44c | 249.96$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.46 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…6364backed Over | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 45c | 186.73$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.36 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 55c | 174.38$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Under | 59c | 165.48$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 44c | 153.52$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.97 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 48c | 150.22$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 34c | 135.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 34c | 135.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 34c | 135.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 45c | 132.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.46 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 52c | 121.31$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 34c | 119.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 38c | 119.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Over | 54c | 116.06$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Under | 55c | 111$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5495…fc8cbacked Under | 44c | 107.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 56c | 104.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Over | 64c | 97.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Under | 56c | 97.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 52c | 92.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Under | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +228%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 43c | 83.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Under | 42c | 77.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked Under | 38c | 77.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 41c | 77.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed Over | 66c | 72.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 20c | 69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 44c | 67.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 66.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 42c | 65.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 268 | 53.4%143 W · 125 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…1533backed Over | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 34c | 62.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…be00backed Under | 39c | 59.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Under | 56c | 58.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 47c | 57.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 1,374 | 54.2%745 W · 629 L | +16.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…326dbacked Under | 56c | 50.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 39c | 50.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-5.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.