MLB · resolved market
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x060fcdce69107c67eeed901dd1131d9f0cdcc211d421fc5fd266e89eab7ab9fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 6,199$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,790.4 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 3,694$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.15 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Detroit Tigers | 63c | 3,277$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.86 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Boston Red Sox | 67c | 2,374$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.71 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Detroit Tigers | 9c | 2,184$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.61 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Detroit Tigers | 12c | 1,234$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.26 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Boston Red Sox | 37c | 1,125$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.59 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Boston Red Sox | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Boston Red Sox | 29c | 968.65$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.47 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Detroit Tigers | 79c | 660.08$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.21 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 600.43$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.7 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 399.98$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Detroit Tigers | 71c | 399$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.29 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Detroit Tigers | 71c | 393.57$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.52 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 385.12$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.77 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 66c | 335.1$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.58 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Detroit Tigers | 22c | 306.58$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Boston Red Sox | 37c | 226.1$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.4 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Detroit Tigers | 66c | 166.35$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.49 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 161$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 151.39$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.61 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Boston Red Sox | 31c | 147.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.89 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox | 32c | 139.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.57 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Boston Red Sox | 32c | 138.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.84 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Boston Red Sox | 41c | 120.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.14 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 111.76$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…1533backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 98.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 96.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Detroit Tigers | 69c | 85.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec4…9258backed Boston Red Sox | 32c | 78.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Boston Red Sox | 30c | 73.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 71.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 61.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 58.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 55.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 53.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d010backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 52.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 48.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 44.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 43.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Boston Red Sox | 36c | 42.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 41.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Detroit Tigers | 65c | 40.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Boston Red Sox | 33c | 39.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x251f…0a14backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 38.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2857…3e27backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 34.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Detroit Tigers | 74c | 34.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…14c9backed Boston Red Sox | 37c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 32.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Detroit Tigers | 56c | 28.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 273 | 54.6%149 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Detroit Tigers | 62c | 25.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 25.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…f017backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 23.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 20.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked Detroit Tigers | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Detroit Tigers | 62c | 19.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 17.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -10.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 17.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Detroit Tigers | 66c | 16.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-5.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.