MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36476294048760175d14d9014407058370293691804f4d3e93f38bf00b1db48a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 50c | 8,830$4,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,431.38 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 55c | 8,760$4,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,979.51 | 6,128 | 55.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L | +347.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 8,024$3,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,048.19 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 48c | 7,044$3,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,381.18 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 52c | 6,419$3,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,111.63 | 1,692 | 50.2%849 W · 843 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under | 43c | 5,591$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.9 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 2,987$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.35 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 52c | 2,816$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.91 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1185…bcdfbacked Over | 50c | 1,942$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 51c | 1,719$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.25 | 928 | 54%501 W · 427 L | +22.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Under | 52c | 1,585$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 52c | 1,219$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.55 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 50c | 985.52$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.76 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 49c | 981.27$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.06 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 44c | 843.94$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.42 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 760.73$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.41 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 54c | 674.97$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.89 | 5,235 | 56.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L | +130.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 73c | 524.23$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.75 | 4,428 | 45.1%1,996 W · 2,432 L | +87.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 54c | 490.21$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.46 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 49c | 403$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.53 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Over | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6b…340bbacked Under | 50c | 385.19$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.16 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 13c | 375$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 51c | 329.57$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.49 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 42c | 299.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.45 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 72c | 293.05$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.05 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 43c | 289.74$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.59 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 42c | 289.56$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.94 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 44c | 229.3$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 643 | 54.1%348 W · 295 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 217.83$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.91 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Under | 50c | 212.43$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…189bbacked Over | 48c | 209.91$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 53c | 205.11$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 49c | 204.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 202.88$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.93 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Under | 49c | 178.05$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…5d78backed Under | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 54c | 168.49$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdc…0c38backed Under | 77c | 168.1$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 44c | 145.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 809 | 51.9%420 W · 389 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under | 51c | 138.92$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 66c | 125.52$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 53c | 115.96$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.37 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Under | 49c | 110.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe67…dd7ebacked Under | 49c | 109.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 54c | 99.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 50c | 99.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Over | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Over | 56c | 83.05$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 64c | 79.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 1,376 | 54.3%747 W · 629 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 47c | 78.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 50c | 76.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 268 | 54.1%145 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Over | 80c | 74.28$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Under | 53c | 74.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 64.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Under | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…5f50backed Under | 47c | 59.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x206d…7c44backed Over | 49c | 59.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f04…4e5fbacked Over | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…972ebacked Over | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…f841backed Over | 70c | 52.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 54c | 48.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 2,593 | 61.5%1,595 W · 998 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…e6bbbacked Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…2fdcbacked Under | 50c | 42.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…065abacked Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 51c | 39.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738e…dc37backed Over | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 51c | 38.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 241 | 52.7%127 W · 114 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 54c | 37.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 54c | 37.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 54c | 37.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 36.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 5,517 | 50.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 54c | 34.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 49c | 33.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 54c | 33.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 54c | 33.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 1,221 | 50%610 W · 611 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 54c | 33.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 54c | 33.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 54c | 33.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 54c | 33.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Over | 56c | 32.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 52c | 32.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 77c | 32.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 550 | 51.3%282 W · 268 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…064ebacked Under | 58c | 30.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff6e…21cdbacked Under | 75c | 29.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…1b25backed Over | 49c | 29.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…64a7backed Over | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Under | 47c | 28.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe503…6d7bbacked Over | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Under | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 2,349 | 49.9%1,172 W · 1,177 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 54c | 25.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cc…3132backed Over | 50c | 24.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2a…4e1fbacked Over | 51c | 23.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 71c | 23.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Under | 51c | 21.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago CubsPittsburgh Pirates won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.