Other European Leagues · resolved market
CD Tondela vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7550c6b2dc269ec3d15e294cbeb04860d1b7a7656ca919f2dc7814de7e611cc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 49c | 4,012$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.94 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 2,667$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.14 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 18c | 1,988$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.98 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 19c | 1,627$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.09 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 19c | 980.38$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.11 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 55c | 354.31$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.72 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 53c | 294.78$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.49 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 31c | 256.61$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.04 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 171.44$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.59 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 23c | 144.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.36 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 53c | 136.18$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 53c | 136.18$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 54c | 128.36$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 118.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 117.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 53c | 99.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 28c | 98.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.77 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 26c | 86.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.06 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 36c | 74.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Under | 52c | 57.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 25c | 55.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 19c | 54.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Over | 50c | 51.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 23c | 49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe503…6d7bbacked Over | 33c | 43.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Over | 38c | 43.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Under | 77c | 38.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb71…b5a0backed Over | 49c | 29.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6e…326cbacked Over | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 53c | 19.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 78c | 15.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Tondela vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 3.5this page
- CD Tondela vs. Gil Vicente FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Tondela vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Tondela vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CD Tondela vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Tondela (-1.5)Gil Vicente FC won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-1.5)CD Tondela won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.