Tennis · resolved market
Korea Open: Suzan Lamens vs Tatjana Maria
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7eb9a611ef0f8714a7adcc438caae9f1ad62c8d2392c0c74c8e69bf7809895de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lamensof Lamens, Maria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Lamens | 59c | 5,003$2,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.31 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Maria | 40c | 3,900$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Maria | 45c | 1,312$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.56 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Maria | 41c | 964$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.24 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Maria | 37c | 960.25$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.69 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lamens | 56c | 653$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.32 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…3f29backed Maria | 40c | 540.98$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lamens | 59c | 539.19$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.99 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Lamens | 59c | 462.62$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.68 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Maria | 43c | 407.96$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.42 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Lamens | 66c | 407$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.24 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lamens | 65c | 292$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.76 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maria | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Maria | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maria | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Lamens | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lamens | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x790d…9995backed Maria | 41c | 127$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Lamens | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Lamens | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Lamens | 58c | 86.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Maria | 44c | 58.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Maria | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Maria | 41c | 47.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Maria | 40c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Lamens | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Maria | 39c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Lamens | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Lamens | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.