La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-12-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22066cae18672a8ccf656d3cbd7706cd3a8b94f766c810022282b88d0ea77387
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 6,853$5,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.55 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.96 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,406$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 1,269$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.78 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 74c | 898.33$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.54 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 4c | 762.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf540…cc07backed Yes | 34c | 705.88$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 34c | 701$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.34 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 492.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 2c | 486.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 473.64$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.77 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 35c | 462$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.77 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 34c | 433.23$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.3 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…815bbacked Yes | 26c | 419.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 29c | 301.31$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 66c | 300.32$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 296.43$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.3 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993e…8ee9backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a1…4799backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 69c | 252.13$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.56 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…992cbacked No | 66c | 214.44$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 64c | 214.36$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Yes | 26c | 210.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5c…dba2backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 66c | 168.78$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba79…e944backed Yes | 37c | 163.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8f…182abacked Yes | 35c | 157.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 34c | 155.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 34c | 154.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…0e50backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 22c | 140$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…1e40backed Yes | 35c | 114.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…b20fbacked Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe1…1a78backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 227 | 40.1%91 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 33c | 89.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 64c | 89.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…82c2backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked No | 66c | 82.35$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ae…7ecebacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 66c | 66.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3425…84a6backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 35c | 57.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…cf5fbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2822…741dbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc88…9328backed Yes | 35c | 44.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa03a…0dffbacked Yes | 35c | 40.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…f4ebbacked Yes | 32c | 37.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 34c | 30.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…3e73backed No | 68c | 29.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 65c | 26.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-12-06?this page
- Will Alaves vs. Real Sociedad end in a draw?No won
- Will Alaves win on 2025-12-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.