TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Alaves win on 2025-12-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$354,106
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$356,115

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,106 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes67c9,969$6,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,288.364,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No24c8,912$2,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,135.469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdeea…bdc9backed Yes33c4,055$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,716.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+80.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2763…9993backed No67c3,459$2,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,317.53633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdf8…4d49backed Yes33c3,235$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,167.45520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe82…c594backed Yes33c3,006$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,014.02757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x439a…751cbacked Yes33c2,906$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,947.02650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c77…e281backed Yes33c2,688$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a2a…2fa2backed No67c2,540$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+52.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0175…44b8backed Yes33c2,518$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.061050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9e1…f9babacked No67c2,426$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625.42425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x241a…be4bbacked Yes33c2,395$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.65475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+76.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd481…433bbacked Yes33c2,359$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.53683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.43per pick40cpaid+118.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d83…539abacked Yes33c2,235$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.45425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0606…9ebbbacked No67c2,203$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.68540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x588a…f792backed Yes33c2,184$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.28560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+77.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39bc…9d68backed Yes33c2,178$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.26560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+79.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf528…422dbacked Yes33c2,170$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.93100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+132.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0ba…3a48backed No67c2,133$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.11616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.43per pick60cpaid-72.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x203b…9b1ebacked Yes33c2,123$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.41650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+37.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01a…6bbdbacked No67c2,072$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.24633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-41.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked No32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64015044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3149…29f4backed No67c1,967$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.89560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3364…6b6abacked Yes33c1,967$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+76.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6533…6050backed No67c1,915$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.05633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a43…9171backed Yes33c1,895$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.65650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+49.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc8a…a184backed No67c1,893$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.31425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb75f…b459backed Yes33c1,848$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9687…2656backed No67c1,835$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.45616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30ec…b026backed No67c1,823$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.41560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+53.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57bf…ce3abacked Yes33c1,801$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb7…91b5backed Yes33c1,761$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.87837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d81…c5f1backed Yes33c1,754$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.18580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+87%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f86…9df8backed No67c1,730$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.1425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab11…1e58backed No67c1,704$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.68580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+87.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x255e…032abacked No67c1,704$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.68425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf785…44abbacked Yes33c1,681$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick39cpaid+165.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dde…508fbacked Yes33c1,674$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.58425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcee…7f22backed No67c1,659$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.5320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7db4…710cbacked No67c1,656$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.52650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7b…d1b6backed No67c1,656$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.52425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5003…e487backed Yes33c1,654$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.18560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+53.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a85…6fabbacked Yes33c1,640$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+92.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x725b…9040backed Yes33c1,633$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.11450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcbb…a764backed Yes33c1,627$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6edd…2c45backed No67c1,612$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.04520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3607…c929backed No67c1,586$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.6240%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb7f3…ebacbacked Yes33c1,492$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.644100%4 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+166.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a07…5a57backed Yes33c1,484$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.285100%5 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+150%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf0a2…1cfdbacked No67c1,473$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.91560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51e4…2b94backed Yes33c1,422$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed No65c1,414$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.29347.3%44 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3011…d3c2backed Yes33c1,399$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.33650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d6…3b2cbacked No67c1,380$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff0e…345fbacked Yes33c1,363$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17d4…6defbacked No67c1,344$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.48728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.29per pick58cpaid-49.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a7f…afbebacked No67c1,332$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.4450%0 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2afa…996dbacked No67c1,325$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.75520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-63%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e04…a2f6backed Yes33c1,311$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e11…53cebacked Yes33c1,308$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick39cpaid+165.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb651…7429backed No67c1,305$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed22…f212backed Yes33c1,286$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.62475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+106.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d66…0956backed No67c1,277$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x833c…da81backed No67c1,270$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8cb…f53fbacked No67c1,237$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.7940%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1bcc…f596backed No67c1,234$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.78540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd21e…431cbacked Yes33c1,212$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc432…d926backed No67c1,205$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.22728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick58cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c49…9565backed No67c1,199$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.33450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e2f…46afbacked No67c1,196$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.32425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0664…ade7backed Yes33c1,188$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.96475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+92.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xacb7…37c6backed Yes33c1,173$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.91666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+58.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5dd…21afbacked No67c1,171$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.57666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4e2…b21bbacked No67c1,168$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.56666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+64.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e2b…571bbacked Yes33c1,146$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.82650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+37.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1723…e1aebacked Yes33c1,146$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.82944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf306…6960backed Yes33c1,121$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.07977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+60.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd72…e47cbacked Yes33c1,097$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf201…b0b4backed Yes33c1,094$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.98650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d42…f9dcbacked No67c1,094$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.98650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9597…eccfbacked No67c1,092$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.64650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9c…eb6bbacked No67c1,088$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.96580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+101.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x57cd…d36abacked No67c1,084$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.2860%0 W · 6 L-3.4wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0021…e975backed Yes33c1,077$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.59425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa256…121cbacked No67c1,074$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9f…c6f9backed No67c1,062$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.45475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+105.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb262…4277backed No67c1,061$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.87650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dbd…9184backed No67c1,056$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.52650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes75c1,054$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.0190843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc62…d54abacked Yes33c1,036$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.12475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+92.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa59b…65a8backed No67c1,026$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.42666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+64.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No15c1,022$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.223,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22c1…2aa2backed No67c1,017$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.39650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b6e…670dbacked No67c1,011$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.37520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-52.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc918…6e81backed No67c1,007$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.69520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick63cpaid-66.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a5…cfccbacked Yes33c1,006$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.02520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d2f…b144backed Yes33c992$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.64616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-49.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa754…845abacked No67c975$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.25425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc91a…2f2bbacked Yes33c967$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.89520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7175…c256backed No67c953$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.51520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.