NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1032a7faac6f367715329a7569179540dfd1443d51ae1f678a7575646426a155
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc29a…8776backed Under | 53c | 16,000$8,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,520 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd856…f1f6backed Over | 47c | 16,000$7,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,520 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 8,725$4,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,232.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…b156backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 52c | 4,444$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.12 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…4ebebacked Over | 49c | 2,350$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.5 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 54c | 1,864$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 1,480$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.78 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 49c | 999.92$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.96 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…3aa8backed Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 675.9$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.05 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb542…1424backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 49c | 443.98$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.43 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 43c | 223.19$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.31 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa763…709ebacked Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…d7abbacked Over | 70c | 209$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.89 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 51c | 199.02$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.52 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…b758backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 244 | 46.7%114 W · 130 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdc…6d51backed Over | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 136.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Over | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da6…53edbacked Over | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 70c | 103$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…b20fbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…a51cbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Under | 52c | 92.54$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 31c | 87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…fb23backed Over | 51c | 86.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a6…3cd9backed Over | 51c | 81.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 29c | 75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 30c | 69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43af…da96backed Over | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0657…14efbacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 30c | 51.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…48b7backed Over | 51c | 46.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6abe…2205backed Over | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…8f51backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 47c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8163backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a3…8593backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…0b89backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…8248backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…ae66backed Over | 51c | 26.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9a…f491backed Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb20a…044dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Clippers vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Clippers vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Clippers vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.