NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x312126b4f22ab7c8adce4d6237ceea2698603b7854de3add351ac9e88aed3bd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Clippers | 51c | 31,344$15,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,891.7 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 18,542$9,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,324.35 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Clippers | 47c | 10,000$4,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,694.12 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Cavaliers | 53c | 5,157$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.58 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cavaliers | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92db…4fabbacked Clippers | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…3f64backed Cavaliers | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Clippers | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b8…e3dabacked Cavaliers | 52c | 3,800$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ea…a8eebacked Clippers | 48c | 3,800$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Clippers | 55c | 3,689$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.01 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1c…5f43backed Cavaliers | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 2,627$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Clippers | 42c | 2,587$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.34 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 2,560$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.1 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Cavaliers | 52c | 2,260$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.38 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers | 53c | 1,988$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.36 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 1,701$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.51 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Clippers | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cavaliers | 47c | 1,209$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.51 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…1ed3backed Cavaliers | 47c | 1,095$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.35 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Clippers | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cavaliers | 23c | 700$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Cavaliers | 49c | 622.09$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.27 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Cavaliers | 49c | 612$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.12 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Cavaliers | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Clippers | 48c | 499.99$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.12 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Cavaliers | 44c | 486.96$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.7 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 44c | 456.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.91 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers | 47c | 439.65$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.91 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 48c | 343$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.61 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 277.08$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.08 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…b542backed Cavaliers | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Cavaliers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…b758backed Cavaliers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 244 | 46.7%114 W · 130 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Cavaliers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Cavaliers | 48c | 160$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Cavaliers | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Cavaliers | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Clippers | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Clippers | 50c | 99.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Cavaliers | 50c | 99.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Clippers | 52c | 95.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Clippers | 43c | 78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Cavaliers | 53c | 73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x213c…618ebacked Cavaliers | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…fcb7backed Cavaliers | 53c | 49.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Cavaliers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…26a8backed Clippers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Clippers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Cavaliers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Cavaliers | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Cavaliers | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Clippers | 46c | 28.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22dd…cc0fbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…bad5backed Cavaliers | 53c | 21.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Cavaliers | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Clippers vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Clippers vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Clippers vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.