NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f8b6a0c82577961e224ac42e3a1f431c1a1871f2c36ebc890e57db148f9c08c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Clippers | 51c | 46,381$23,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,742.57 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 15,483$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,782.96 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers | 48c | 10,050$4,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,226 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cavaliers | 50c | 8,675$4,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,335.59 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cavaliers | 49c | 7,500$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Cavaliers | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Clippers | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Clippers | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 2,598$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 2,222$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.22 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Cavaliers | 49c | 2,184$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.84 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 2,070$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.23 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Clippers | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 49c | 1,715$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Clippers | 41c | 1,248$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.51 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Clippers | 50c | 809.92$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.14 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Cavaliers | 53c | 564.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.31 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Cavaliers | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 46c | 473$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.42 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Clippers | 4c | 470.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers | 48c | 465.08$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.84 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers | 46c | 375$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.49 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…7c76backed Cavaliers | 53c | 294.93$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.62 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Clippers | 13c | 190$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Cavaliers | 52c | 156.67$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Clippers | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Cavaliers | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Clippers | 47c | 119.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Cavaliers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Clippers | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…8117backed Cavaliers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Clippers | 45c | 98.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Clippers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Cavaliers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…f0e8backed Cavaliers | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers | 49c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Clippers | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Clippers | 47c | 54.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Cavaliers | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084c…a811backed Cavaliers | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3175…5916backed Clippers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Clippers | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Cavaliers | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…f0cbbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 34.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Cavaliers | 58c | 30.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Cavaliers | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 183 | 57.4%105 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…af22backed Cavaliers | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Clippers | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…8ecebacked Cavaliers | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 88 | 75%66 W · 22 L | +12.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Clippers vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Clippers vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Clippers vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.