NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68765d1f577fdb6a051932f5bc1420c11ccb8ecaff8d055b6b0e596fe75b2376
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 52,735$25,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,312.97 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Over | 49c | 50,864$25,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,080.69 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Under | 52c | 49,999$25,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,999.52 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 8,706$4,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,178.82 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Under | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 51c | 2,844$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 2,105$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.43 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Under | 51c | 1,750$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.5 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 51c | 1,509$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.35 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Under | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 48c | 409.85$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.64 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 52c | 395.81$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4741backed Under | 53c | 379.25$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.25 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…5a74backed Over | 50c | 340$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd509…b06abacked Over | 49c | 295.92$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 51c | 290$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.12 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 52c | 192.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked Over | 49c | 184.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.26 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 50c | 169$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Over | 49c | 135.17$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc597…4ee7backed Under | 80c | 126$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Under | 51c | 115.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…f0e8backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 90.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 48c | 76.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…ed47backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…908dbacked Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Over | 37c | 67.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +6.9wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…ff83backed Under | 61c | 43.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 50c | 37.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Under | 34c | 34.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…4ab2backed Over | 31c | 32.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6741…ba00backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5this page
- Hawks vs. ClippersHawks won
- Hawks vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-3.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.