NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f88384d452f68372eacdeeca690ed6d79edd953fc1d991851effbbdeadc126e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Clippers, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Clippers | 48c | 18,000$8,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,640 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hawks | 52c | 9,574$4,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,595.52 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Hawks | 52c | 9,497$4,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,558.56 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 59c | 1,609$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.27 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 46c | 1,576$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.66 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Hawks | 40c | 1,500$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Hawks | 54c | 1,177$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.34 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Hawks | 53c | 1,102$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.34 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…7231backed Hawks | 55c | 905.45$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.45 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Clippers | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Clippers | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Clippers | 48c | 827.92$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.9 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Hawks | 52c | 710.3$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.9 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Hawks | 53c | 181$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.84 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3854…862dbacked Clippers | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers | 39c | 127.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc597…4ee7backed Hawks | 62c | 110$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Hawks | 52c | 52.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…591abacked Clippers | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Hawks | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Clippers | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…1eedbacked Clippers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Hawks | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7935…3ed3backed Hawks | 59c | 35.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd9…00b1backed Hawks | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)this page
- Hawks vs. ClippersHawks won
- Hawks vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-3.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.