College Football · resolved market
Hawaii vs. San Jose State: O/U 58.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f134dc7cba92048adceaa40abae97523a460806f2b2226371430b51a96a1d2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 55c | 2,535$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.93 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0531…549fbacked Under | 57c | 2,369$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 45c | 2,026$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.19 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aed…abfebacked Over | 43c | 1,827$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ac…29cfbacked Under | 57c | 1,603$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c58…d703backed Over | 43c | 1,542$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…884cbacked Under | 57c | 1,452$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e8…f661backed Over | 43c | 1,347$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +50%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…4a9ebacked Over | 43c | 1,344$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23c6…e285backed Under | 57c | 1,315$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…ee8abacked Under | 57c | 1,138$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21fd…9b47backed Under | 57c | 1,128$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…4388backed Over | 43c | 1,087$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…fdfdbacked Under | 57c | 1,024$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…7463backed Over | 43c | 1,006$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb76…0985backed Over | 43c | 976$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc010…3d6ebacked Under | 57c | 898$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f72…8fe7backed Over | 43c | 855$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9b…2e9dbacked Over | 43c | 854$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…9bffbacked Over | 43c | 824$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f9…d815backed Under | 57c | 803$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…2d63backed Under | 57c | 763$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8af…fd2fbacked Over | 43c | 724$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f54…4846backed Over | 43c | 637$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.09 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…2cb3backed Under | 57c | 556$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…ed34backed Over | 43c | 542$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…a42bbacked Under | 57c | 516$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 46c | 199$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Over | 46c | 102.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawaii vs. San Jose State: O/U 58.5this page
- Hawaii vs. San Jose StateSan Jose State won
- Hawaii vs. San Jose State: O/U 55.5Over won
- Hawaii vs. San Jose State: O/U 56.5Over won
- O/U 57.5Over won
- Spread: San Jose State (-1.5)San Jose State won
- Spread: San Jose State (-2.5)San Jose State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.