NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc22aad8f3fd34aa4b870aaf7625b7810213c4fbfd91cdae29554c08036dcfc0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof Magic, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0584…de3ebacked Magic | 56c | 17,947$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked 76ers | 46c | 10,915$5,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,894.1 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed 76ers | 44c | 7,574$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,241.69 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Magic | 52c | 3,325$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.1 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Magic | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.6 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed 76ers | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.98 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked 76ers | 46c | 870$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.8 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 45c | 615.36$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked 76ers | 47c | 510.01$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.15 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 76ers | 44c | 318.97$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.62 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed 76ers | 50c | 308.95$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.48 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked 76ers | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd3…9639backed 76ers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 49c | 116$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed 76ers | 51c | 116$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked 76ers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed 76ers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 285 | 47.7%136 W · 149 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed 76ers | 49c | 77.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcada…f2a3backed 76ers | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Magic | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 317 | 48.9%155 W · 162 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…3183backed 76ers | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)this page
- Magic vs. 76ers76ers won
- Magic vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)76ers won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)76ers won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.