Premier League · resolved market
Will Ipswich win on 2024-10-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c5c8a218e12e641749ea61c35dc7b1d51cb630362f8e01b8d50fcb008f028c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 41c | 273.81$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 59c | 248.13$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.07 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…e793backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…3757backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 39c | 170.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 58c | 101.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.87 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…ee70backed Yes | 43c | 101$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x09ed…322ebacked No | 61c | 99.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b77…0944backed Yes | 40c | 98.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6900…9ccebacked Yes | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32c7…1dc7backed Yes | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…316abacked Yes | 42c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b6…c3dabacked No | 58c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefcb…b6ddbacked Yes | 43c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…2ab2backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…f6a6backed Yes | 42c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 60c | 37.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd940…8d04backed No | 61c | 36.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6d…f1c8backed Yes | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +55%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…af0dbacked No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 58c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434c…a1b7backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…4d45backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ipswich win on 2024-10-19?this page
- Will Everton win on 2024-10-19?Yes won
- Will Ipswich vs. Everton end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.