South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Paranaense end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05f820f26505b11a9f072db8411f93fa22469c5726a846407eb052528594e8a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 68c | 35,060$23,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,990.61 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 18,519$6,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,926.87 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 32c | 12,756$4,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,686.02 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 39c | 3,208$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.63 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…22f3backed Yes | 33c | 2,742$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 1,981$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.63 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db9…c73bbacked No | 69c | 1,900$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 34c | 1,605$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.24 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 18c | 1,256$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.08 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 37c | 975.55$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.56 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 44c | 917.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.7 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 28c | 719.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.57 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 581.21$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.23 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…7776backed No | 72c | 579.44$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 48c | 552.08$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.15 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 52c | 545.56$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.69 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes | 71c | 474.03$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.47 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked No | 73c | 319.06$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.61 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 34c | 299.29$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.06 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 53c | 246.7$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.4 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Yes | 78c | 230.88$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 48c | 230.48$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.73 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa83…4965backed Yes | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 24c | 209.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 70c | 152$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Yes | 31c | 151.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb4…f89dbacked No | 72c | 147.59$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 73cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked Yes | 35c | 144.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.61 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 27c | 136.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…3f69backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 71c | 127.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 28c | 120.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.83 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 74c | 107$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 74c | 99.68$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…a914backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +238.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Yes | 68c | 96.31$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…5f02backed No | 23c | 88.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 37c | 85.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 50c | 81.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 51c | 79.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes | 26c | 77.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Yes | 32c | 74.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Yes | 33c | 68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 73c | 68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed No | 35c | 65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 56c | 64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 27c | 59.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 32c | 52.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 66c | 47.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 78c | 45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 29c | 39.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 39.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…e3cabacked Yes | 30c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 34cpaid | +126.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 68c | 31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8c41backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed No | 71c | 17.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…0ad3backed Yes | 70c | 16.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Paranaense end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-02-25?No won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-02-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.