TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - BC Game Masters Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Eternal Fireof Rune Eaters, Eternal Fire
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,736

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,736 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4b59…3aa6backed Eternal Fire68c3,126$2,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.2684958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Rune Eaters32c3,125$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.4711046.4%51 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Eternal Fire67c2,710$1,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.2884454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Eternal Fire71c2,143$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.095,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Rune Eaters32c975$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3121,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Rune Eaters32c970$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.427530.9%85 W · 190 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Rune Eaters28c830.01$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.155,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Eternal Fire68c692.27$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.91,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Rune Eaters33c581.82$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19247147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Rune Eaters35c556.37$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.487,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Rune Eaters32c550$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.534943%150 W · 199 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Eternal Fire67c506.24$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.036,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Rune Eaters33c449.96$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.21,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Rune Eaters43c448.39$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.6941260.9%251 W · 161 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Rune Eaters31c420$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.210841.7%45 W · 63 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Rune Eaters33c347.17$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.139851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Eternal Fire62c336.67$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2722838.6%88 W · 140 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Eternal Fire57c307.51$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.972,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d1…f540backed Eternal Fire68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9617849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Rune Eaters28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8432845.1%148 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3401backed Eternal Fire67c277.57$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Rune Eaters8c242.46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.221,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Rune Eaters32c217.52$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Eternal Fire50c201.42$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2339258.2%228 W · 164 L+18.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf82c…0f6fbacked Eternal Fire66c191.21$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.212948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa535…6b04backed Eternal Fire69c189.04$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.042133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Rune Eaters25c188.52$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1346447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Rune Eaters34c180.2$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2754348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc093…de0ebacked Rune Eaters33c172.42$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.98447.6%40 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Eternal Fire68c169.58$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7396543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3f9…d587backed Eternal Fire30c165.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9335033.4%117 W · 233 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+44.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x64ba…b7bfbacked Eternal Fire48c151$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.841060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Rune Eaters35c149.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.58535.3%30 W · 55 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Rune Eaters34c130$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.41,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16fd…b4d3backed Rune Eaters26c105.62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2329840.3%120 W · 178 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Rune Eaters57c104.37$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604221.4%9 W · 33 L-10.0wins-0.24per pick45cpaid-56.9%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Rune Eaters30c103.16$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.952744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Rune Eaters27c100.48$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6391648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x45b0…ceebbacked Rune Eaters24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2411830.5%36 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53fc…76d7backed Eternal Fire48c97.26$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.586854.4%37 W · 31 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Rune Eaters20c96.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.516224.2%15 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8945…640bbacked Rune Eaters21c90.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9426257.6%151 W · 111 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked Rune Eaters58c87.71$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.877255.6%40 W · 32 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Rune Eaters51c86.96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.441,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Rune Eaters47c82.75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7683543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Rune Eaters26c80$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.71,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xebf8…7d2bbacked Rune Eaters56c79.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.415355.6%85 W · 68 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Rune Eaters33c77.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2822931.4%72 W · 157 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Eternal Fire59c76.87$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.734776.6%36 W · 11 L+9.9wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+35%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked Eternal Fire67c73.25$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3733539.4%132 W · 203 L-19.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc255…0470backed Eternal Fire69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4614863.5%94 W · 54 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4238…3734backed Rune Eaters28c72.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013445.5%61 W · 73 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Eternal Fire68c65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.840247.8%192 W · 210 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba7…6c85backed Eternal Fire49c60.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37d7…f131backed Rune Eaters32c59.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.133451.5%172 W · 162 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac3…5a50backed Rune Eaters51c58.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.991040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x931c…bf4bbacked Rune Eaters29c57.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5132351.4%166 W · 157 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Rune Eaters33c56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.484452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbda…8bd5backed Rune Eaters26c55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.31668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+32.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Rune Eaters33c53.79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.517836.5%65 W · 113 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Eternal Fire67c52.36$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2892152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Rune Eaters33c52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9433044.5%147 W · 183 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Eternal Fire45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.51978.9%15 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.24per pick55cpaid+42.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Rune Eaters25c48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1259343.2%256 W · 337 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Rune Eaters33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531532.4%102 W · 213 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71fc…426dbacked Rune Eaters32c41.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.331020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-66.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Eternal Fire69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.418063.9%115 W · 65 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedaa…89b4backed Rune Eaters25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024535.9%88 W · 157 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Eternal Fire49c37.88$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3416653%88 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Eternal Fire46c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.442,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7a55…c349backed Rune Eaters32c34.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.894953.1%26 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe727…8eb1backed Rune Eaters60c33.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010051%51 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x680d…98b8backed Eternal Fire60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.337569.3%52 W · 23 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc995…2224backed Eternal Fire48c33.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.338644.2%38 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed Rune Eaters35c31.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0743239.1%169 W · 263 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ca6…3841backed Rune Eaters33c31.49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2911241.1%46 W · 66 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d0…e052backed Rune Eaters58c29.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9715…e33ebacked Rune Eaters52c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.48650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Eternal Fire66c23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8211450%57 W · 57 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x345d…4e41backed Eternal Fire66c21.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.535147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacbc…f6bfbacked Eternal Fire66c19.64$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.686346%29 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9620…5052backed Eternal Fire66c15.2$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.176048.3%29 W · 31 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.