New Mexico State Aggies vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bb8a0da92afa3fa0b3886cf37a13af39547df4decfdc44c4f8b09cb7077eedf

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersof New Mexico State Aggies, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Resolved: Feb 28, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $64,045
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $62,795

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,045 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	10c	10,616$1,041 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,574.2	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed New Mexico State Aggies	63c	3,767$2,361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,360.99	349	43.3%151 W · 198 L	-15.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	69c	3,031$2,091 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$939.65	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked New Mexico State Aggies	31c	2,652$822 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$822.25	896	45.9%411 W · 485 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	79c	2,444$1,936 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$508.97	1,540	41.3%636 W · 904 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked New Mexico State Aggies	31c	2,222$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688.81	2,687	48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	69c	1,564$1,076 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$488	1,511	47.8%722 W · 789 L	-35.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed New Mexico State Aggies	61c	1,291$793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$793.37	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	-7.6wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	18c	1,223$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000.17	4,382	40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L	+23.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked New Mexico State Aggies	32c	1,193$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.47	1,983	26.4%523 W · 1,460 L	-55.5wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed New Mexico State Aggies	33c	799.76$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.92	922	46%424 W · 498 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed New Mexico State Aggies	31c	784.77$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.04	1,446	43.4%627 W · 819 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	72c	782.92$562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.83	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	68c	766.37$521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.24	1,397	52.7%736 W · 661 L	+26.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	69c	763.24$527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.61	183	49.2%90 W · 93 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	62c	659.27$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.15	3,380	49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L	+30.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked New Mexico State Aggies	47c	641.07$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.6	1,531	50.1%767 W · 764 L	+34.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	69c	565.73$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.38	898	50%449 W · 449 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	69c	558.79$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.22	746	49.2%367 W · 379 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	28c	533.12$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$385.28	709	36.1%256 W · 453 L	-27.3wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New Mexico State Aggies	74c	459.7$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.91	3,905	58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L	+165.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked New Mexico State Aggies	31c	458.21$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.05	2,896	50%1,448 W · 1,448 L	+71.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	69c	431.53$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.77	347	46.1%160 W · 187 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked New Mexico State Aggies	31c	400.76$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.23	555	32.8%182 W · 373 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	61c	370.22$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.02	2,003	53.7%1,076 W · 927 L	+101.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked New Mexico State Aggies	31c	319.23$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.73	1,058	55.8%590 W · 468 L	+34.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	58c	311.34$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.57	2,012	50%1,006 W · 1,006 L	+22.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56be…88febacked New Mexico State Aggies	32c	310.12$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.24	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked New Mexico State Aggies	33c	297.68$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.23	2,194	33.4%733 W · 1,461 L	+19.2wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x359f…fa80backed New Mexico State Aggies	8c	242$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.36	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	6cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked New Mexico State Aggies	32c	239.54$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.65	315	37.8%119 W · 196 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	38c	239.46$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.62	343	43.4%149 W · 194 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	49c	216.43$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.05	1,493	48.7%727 W · 766 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked New Mexico State Aggies	68c	204.2$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	4,848	52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L	+139.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	17c	199.31$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.43	2,254	42.2%951 W · 1,303 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	60c	148.27$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.68	716	55.3%396 W · 320 L	+26.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	49c	145$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.55	848	54.5%462 W · 386 L	+32.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked New Mexico State Aggies	73c	140.04$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.3	300	54%162 W · 138 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…dd9fbacked New Mexico State Aggies	41c	117.73$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.27	42	21.4%9 W · 33 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-38%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	54c	112.98$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.88	2,124	50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L	+40.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed New Mexico State Aggies	17c	99.51$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.92	249	51.8%129 W · 120 L	+19.1wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed New Mexico State Aggies	32c	99.24$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.76	167	21%35 W · 132 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked New Mexico State Aggies	32c	99.24$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.76	1,317	33.6%443 W · 874 L	+14.9wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	51c	91.69$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.06	771	42.3%326 W · 445 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed New Mexico State Aggies	33c	83.95$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.7	423	39.2%166 W · 257 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	18c	73.48$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.26	3,684	42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L	+32.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	68c	69.99$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.53	430	53.3%229 W · 201 L	-12.1wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed New Mexico State Aggies	32c	66.49$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.28	252	39.3%99 W · 153 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3401backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	69c	40.23$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.47	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+48.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea4b…dedebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	69c	35.44$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.99	99	47.5%47 W · 52 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed New Mexico State Aggies	33c	33.62$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.09	815	28.8%235 W · 580 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked New Mexico State Aggies	32c	32.75$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.48	179	45.8%82 W · 97 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9190…896dbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	54c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	67c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.6	167	55.7%93 W · 74 L	+10.1wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	68c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.4	334	45.8%153 W · 181 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5581…c029backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	69c	16.7$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.22	40	35%14 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	75c	15.3$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.82	646	58.8%380 W · 266 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

New Mexico State Aggies vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersthis page
Spread: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (-5.5)New Mexico State Aggies won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New Mexico State Aggies vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event