Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x087f7407a748740e89b532eb93d419a5045bb38be8f0e705d531b68626ccb754
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 75c | 1,511$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.75 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…9164backed Yes | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 78c | 999.86$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.97 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 10c | 521.91$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 494.29$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 10c | 448.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 422.44$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.71 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 24c | 400.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 391.65$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.58 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 379.66$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.06 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 22c | 228.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 74c | 169.6$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 148$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 22c | 147.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 123.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 23c | 86.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 76c | 81.2$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 22c | 61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 24c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 24c | 51.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed No | 78c | 22.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-02-22?this page
- Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. Heracles Almelo end in a draw?No won
- Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-02-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.