South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c481a955d5bc11104fe482f456e3c6f711b648bba8da345d8b5ef9229a19f84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 33c | 30,962$10,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,747.53 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 67c | 12,561$8,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,415.87 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 5,527$3,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,702.03 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 53c | 5,050$2,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.37 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 2,688$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.58 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 22c | 901.35$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.25 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 58c | 869.8$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.67 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 775.72$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.12 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 17c | 588.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 27c | 566.53$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.45 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 41c | 522.88$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.64 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 67c | 522$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.74 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 29c | 513.96$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.42 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked No | 7c | 449.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked No | 67c | 419$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.73 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed No | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 35c | 341.21$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.69 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 5c | 324.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 79c | 317$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.14 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…5cd8backed Yes | 61c | 267.38$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 234.62$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.13 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Yes | 34c | 227.94$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.44 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 34c | 192.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.92 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 31c | 179.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.19 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…a382backed Yes | 33c | 154.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 36c | 152.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 150.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 34c | 143.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.02 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes | 34c | 143.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.79 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 57c | 108.48$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…e599backed Yes | 52c | 95.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 31c | 84.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Yes | 36c | 82.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…78b4backed Yes | 34c | 79.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 34c | 70$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 74c | 65.54$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 48c | 61.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 38c | 59.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af7…f5a8backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd364…2778backed Yes | 52c | 57.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1f…dd1bbacked Yes | 33c | 51.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4972…3450backed Yes | 33c | 44.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +198.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf64b…ac58backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 31c | 43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbae…bcd0backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 63c | 38.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…1809backed No | 41c | 38.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 34c | 36.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 68c | 35.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 61c | 30.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…2925backed No | 68c | 26.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 60c | 25.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Yes | 69c | 23.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed Yes | 69c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed6a…841ebacked No | 67c | 18.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0133…64bcbacked Yes | 73c | 17.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4b…b938backed Yes | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-02-22?this page
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-02-22?No won
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.