South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde4e78783436071db6df1a6008950cec0574d2e9264f0a1d1e739e289a4c70fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed No | 65c | 23,065$14,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,086.08 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 9c | 12,738$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.52 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 35c | 7,348$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.8 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75fe…70eebacked Yes | 12c | 6,145$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 35c | 4,774$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.22 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 1c | 3,500$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…771dbacked Yes | 20c | 3,314$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Yes | 7c | 3,247$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 35c | 2,166$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.88 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 2,056$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.92 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 11c | 1,801$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked No | 66c | 1,550$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.94 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 34c | 1,440$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.58 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…a382backed Yes | 36c | 1,051$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 935.97$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.66 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24e…080dbacked No | 66c | 933.02$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.23 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +37%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…c365backed No | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 34c | 737.19$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.03 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 6c | 505$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 36c | 387.04$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.75 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 65c | 361.96$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.69 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a83…9516backed Yes | 8c | 298.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed No | 66c | 297.51$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 35c | 188.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…1809backed Yes | 12c | 151.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 8c | 126.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…0416backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 35c | 114$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 28c | 102.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 17c | 88.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 26c | 57.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f2…034bbacked Yes | 26c | 57.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 30cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…1c75backed Yes | 35c | 54.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 52.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab52…293bbacked Yes | 28c | 40.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 35c | 37.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…05d0backed No | 66c | 36.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb4…db60backed Yes | 35c | 31.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 35c | 30.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 65c | 21.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdad8…7c03backed No | 67c | 15.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-02-22?this page
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-02-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.