South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf137b1e1cafe20fbe216d1a0246b8a5e079080e6f433129ea1e50eef08ec500
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Yes | 46c | 6,478$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 53c | 2,058$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.71 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked No | 57c | 1,918$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.05 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 1,682$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.36 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 48c | 1,218$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.4 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 47c | 1,210$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.34 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 54c | 1,016$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.7 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 918.38$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.91 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 12c | 859.55$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.15 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 40c | 702.43$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.02 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 49c | 614.33$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.02 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 69c | 567.34$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.21 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…c365backed Yes | 47c | 443.81$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.59 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 71c | 416.49$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.61 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed No | 53c | 381.83$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.46 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x360e…f2f3backed Yes | 29c | 305.25$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 48c | 288.51$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.08 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 66c | 244.8$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes | 21c | 236.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…66b3backed No | 52c | 196.71$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.42 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 48c | 190$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 54c | 186$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 48c | 180.84$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…dc4ebacked Yes | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 48c | 160.37$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 13c | 157$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 38c | 132.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 129$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 54c | 121.66$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 35c | 103.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 53c | 102.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…e5bebacked Yes | 16c | 91.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed No | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x062b…c6eabacked Yes | 49c | 82.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 54c | 72.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 54c | 72.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 53c | 71.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 53c | 70.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x845c…bd64backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 57c | 61.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…c7a6backed Yes | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 52c | 57.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked No | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked No | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c1…477fbacked Yes | 48c | 56.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d5…41b8backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 54c | 50.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 57c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fed…7dffbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…8086backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 69c | 41.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 45c | 30.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…afc3backed Yes | 46c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 55c | 29.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49cc…16e3backed Yes | 48c | 27.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…1323backed No | 58c | 25.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…1d02backed No | 70c | 25.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed No | 59c | 25.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 72c | 25.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked No | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x111a…2c97backed No | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 52c | 21.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-24?this page
- Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?No won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.