South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40acb08adef6d6710cc107cab165226744c40b6d89c94446e9ccd972d960577e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.54 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 64c | 996.41$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.85 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 32c | 783.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 68c | 764.63$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.68 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 28c | 587.91$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.61 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 571.08$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.9 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec09backed No | 72c | 331.91$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.93 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +7.0wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…1c3fbacked No | 72c | 254.61$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.29 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 72c | 214.63$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 72c | 133.21$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 106.09$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed No | 63c | 77.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed No | 71c | 67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Yes | 20c | 62.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 71c | 57.07$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c1…477fbacked Yes | 29c | 54.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76b…94babacked Yes | 28c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 30c | 48.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 70c | 44.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 70c | 41.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 32c | 39.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 78c | 31.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed No | 66c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 73c | 20.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?this page
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-24?No won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.