TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-03-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$231,555

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,555 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes51c93,267$47,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,268.0329446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes52c75,179$39,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,086.0918352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No49c37,108$18,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,018.663151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No48c16,155$7,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,753.593,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No49c13,976$6,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,8486357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No49c13,174$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,399.636055%33 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No48c10,542$5,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0606546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed No49c8,317$4,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,075.332450%12 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked No48c8,282$3,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,975.214845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No48c8,015$3,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,87817049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes52c7,392$3,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,548.3419846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No48c6,020$2,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,889.425259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No48c5,266$2,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,536.3923354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes51c5,181$2,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.3337851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No48c5,098$2,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,445.868153.1%43 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No48c5,020$2,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,418.58,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes52c5,000$2,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400.8120046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed No48c4,652$2,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2332751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed No49c4,206$2,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,047.172157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed No48c4,166$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes74c4,001$2,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.7649449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed No48c3,947$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,894.531533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed No49c3,709$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,817.611250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No50c3,543$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,768.0714443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2003652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed No48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No48c1,788$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.2422457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No18c1,768$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.515,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed No49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72011459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed No48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7202245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed No48c1,333$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6401942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No48c1,275$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61212757.5%73 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed No49c1,228$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.52757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed No48c1,208$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5804261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Yes50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6003360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No51c1,155$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.8535758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f04…6a54backed No30c1,102$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.2930%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4804153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd64b…873cbacked No49c894.31$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.21944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked No50c873.8$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed No48c626.6$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.775052%26 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24017946.9%84 W · 95 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No48c470$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.65160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes79c460.6$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6399259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x514e…a604backed No9c455$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.27955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes67c417.87$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.951,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6231745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes53c381.13$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.1312541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes50c375$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.51,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No48c350.06$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.291,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd865…4778backed Yes75c346.99$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.191080%8 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No35c332.1$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8128651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509956.6%56 W · 43 L+12.3wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No47c259.85$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6684943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12019460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012761.4%78 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes50c233.96$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9810846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbffd…38f6backed No48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Yes49c206$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.063268.8%22 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+31.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No48c199.6$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.836842.6%29 W · 39 L-8.7wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked No48c195$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No51c180$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.855155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No39c175.09$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.431,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No48c175$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No48c175$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No8c165$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7618742.2%79 W · 108 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Yes74c161.82$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No48c158.95$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6181651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727153.5%38 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed No26c146.24$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.026124.6%15 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No48c140$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.26558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No48c128$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.812,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607745.5%35 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes77c122.66$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.371,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No48c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.63348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No48c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.67055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No48c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.613557%77 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes50c109$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7210033%33 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No48c109$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.325752.6%30 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x341b…b92cbacked No50c108.9$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.451450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes51c106$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9450746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed No48c105.81$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.799759.8%58 W · 39 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No48c105$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.415359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No24c102.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.683,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No48c100.27$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0911448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked No48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485250%26 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485151%26 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.