TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Alicante: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Edas Butvilas

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pablo Llamas Ruizof Pablo Llamas Ruiz, Edas Butvilas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,439
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,800

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,439 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Edas Butvilas3c9,379$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.228,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Edas Butvilas7c2,272$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.582,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0680…1e45backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz77c2,265$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.873100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68af…ca81backed Edas Butvilas26c2,027$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52921720.3%44 W · 173 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a84…e271backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz75c1,500$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37013959%82 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz76c1,272$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.2865959%389 W · 270 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Edas Butvilas8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10061924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee4c…8572backed Edas Butvilas27c893.24$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.7123429.1%68 W · 166 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz74c767.47$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.9459165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Edas Butvilas25c719.64$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.881,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4da7…ff92backed Edas Butvilas25c699.97$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.991154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz76c633.54$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.549761.9%60 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Edas Butvilas24c625$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Edas Butvilas10c552.48$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562,33946.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Edas Butvilas24c525$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261,02933.5%345 W · 684 L-3.7wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42ae…85ccbacked Edas Butvilas7c500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355721.1%12 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Edas Butvilas8c491.59$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4411,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Edas Butvilas27c464.32$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12496035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Edas Butvilas24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033149.2%163 W · 168 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Edas Butvilas25c390.71$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.771,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Edas Butvilas25c346.84$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7156757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x464c…4632backed Edas Butvilas9c334.72$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.557237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Edas Butvilas21c301.32$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.323,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf25…636dbacked Edas Butvilas22c280.05$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.564443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6bd…09c9backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz74c270$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.21338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Edas Butvilas25c269.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.391,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Edas Butvilas25c251.92$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6372542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3998…7f0fbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz77c234.17$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.153762.2%23 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Edas Butvilas22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013113.7%18 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Edas Butvilas26c201$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6154434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa380…a620backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd91…3d37backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz73c190$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-54.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz73c190$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.310242.2%43 W · 59 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Edas Butvilas15c173.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.686,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz73c170$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.934242.4%145 W · 197 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Edas Butvilas25c169.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.587135.4%308 W · 563 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Edas Butvilas26c155$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7299044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Edas Butvilas21c151.25$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.523,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz73c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.59745.4%44 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Edas Butvilas20c134.89$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.954,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz75c133.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.657349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f02…5e77backed Edas Butvilas8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb66f…c67ebacked Edas Butvilas27c112.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x999d…5b2ebacked Edas Butvilas13c109.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.97550.7%38 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2730452%158 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9483…804ebacked Edas Butvilas21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015514.2%22 W · 133 L-27.4wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-70.4%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz74c92.4$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6323750.6%120 W · 117 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x068a…6fe7backed Edas Butvilas24c83.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206852.9%36 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Edas Butvilas24c80.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4323731.6%75 W · 162 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz76c78.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9559965.8%394 W · 205 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4e…e935backed Edas Butvilas14c77.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.79520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz75c75.07$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7741272.8%300 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Edas Butvilas24c72.56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.411,75449.1%862 W · 892 L+56.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Edas Butvilas27c71.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199040%36 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Edas Butvilas27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.242353.7%227 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Edas Butvilas25c57.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.331,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe10f…c59fbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz76c56.63$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6310474%77 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick73cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Edas Butvilas34c54.06$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.382,44051.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L+9.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz73c54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.747,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ee…d3d0backed Edas Butvilas28c52.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.561952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc7f…6767backed Edas Butvilas21c51.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz74c41.3$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.841,42555.1%785 W · 640 L+23.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1071165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.89443.6%41 W · 53 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Edas Butvilas34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.647653.2%253 W · 223 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1088560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz73c39.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.733,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e0b…d6c6backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz75c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ff…1480backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x855f…4954backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz75c29.49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3710570.5%74 W · 31 L+0.5wins0.00per pick70cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd13c…39adbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz75c26.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.651163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x852d…c3dfbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3210764.5%69 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3176…20d4backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb1…9cbdbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511558.3%67 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.42,13556%1,195 W · 940 L+41.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz76c17.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1618166.9%121 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddde…0e06backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz76c16.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2363…4691backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz74c16.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.223161.3%19 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a6f…f09dbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz75c15.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.817100%7 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz71c14.76$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2815248.7%74 W · 78 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.