TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd13c…39ad

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
18
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Dota2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Vicenza: Samuele Pieri vs Jerome Kymbacked Jerome Kym · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Ostrava: Jonas Forejtek vs Hynek Bartonbacked Hynek Barton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Antonia Ruzic vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+46%+$9.02
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexander Blockx vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$6.4
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Emilio Navabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.22
Alicante: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Edas Butvilasbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$6.65
Dubrovnik: Teodora Kostovic vs Alina Charaevabacked Teodora Kostovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Miami Open, Qualification: Kaja Juvan vs Mary Stoianabacked Kaja Juvan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Morelos: Vadym Ursu vs Andres Martinbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$6.77
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Magic vs. Mavericksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$8.03
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.09
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$8.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: 1win vs paiN Gaming (BO5) - CCT Playoffsbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.