TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: 1win vs paiN Gaming (BO5) - CCT Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
paiN Gamingof 1win, paiN Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,332

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,332 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfb7b…ed88backed paiN Gaming63c5,248$3,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,933.981241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win23c4,794$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.842,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ac…f6b4backed 1win21c3,055$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.428229.3%24 W · 58 L-7.9wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-43.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab80…ffc0backed 1win52c2,098$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.66520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-64.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed paiN Gaming79c1,919$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.466662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked paiN Gaming75c1,416$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.2218746.5%87 W · 100 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedce…412ebacked paiN Gaming46c1,000$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.234719.1%9 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-53.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6897…a0a4backed 1win48c993.77$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.921361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked 1win59c853.59$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020367%136 W · 67 L+14.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed paiN Gaming62c786$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.2477941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed 1win41c737.9$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.5429245.9%134 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e85…3015backed paiN Gaming77c702.83$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.833450%17 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ad…790cbacked paiN Gaming62c687.45$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.232450%12 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 1win33c625.16$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.941,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed 1win52c570$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.414849.3%73 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x597d…b97dbacked 1win18c561.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020738.6%80 W · 127 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed 1win29c544.65$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.0946649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9808…32adbacked 1win17c493$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked 1win33c425.92$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.926633.3%22 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed 1win35c409.94$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4851751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked paiN Gaming44c336.95$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.2160542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x387e…ca5dbacked paiN Gaming75c334.27$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1211857.6%68 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 1win39c333.17$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.91,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked paiN Gaming64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1088844.3%39 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed 1win38c265.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007143.7%31 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb126…9848backed paiN Gaming44c236.35$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.351729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-46.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3bc0…b4aebacked paiN Gaming59c231$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed 1win29c221.83$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3344645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked paiN Gaming48c200.98$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.512259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed paiN Gaming45c199.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.993447.1%16 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed 1win54c199.97$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9997142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67cc…942fbacked 1win45c193.33$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed 1win46c189.13$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878155.6%45 W · 36 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked paiN Gaming48c145$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.47565.3%49 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked 1win54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652065%13 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked 1win15c116.26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.441338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked paiN Gaming43c115$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658748.3%42 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed 1win58c111.07$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4234045.9%156 W · 184 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed paiN Gaming47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534045%18 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked 1win39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399244.6%41 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked paiN Gaming48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5222845.6%104 W · 124 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked paiN Gaming69c97.08$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0918745.5%85 W · 102 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8d…3e62backed 1win16c89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed 1win23c88.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.011,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed 1win24c87.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0750832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked paiN Gaming60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3335461.3%217 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked paiN Gaming46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.270236.6%257 W · 445 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e2b…7fc1backed paiN Gaming71c76.34$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.343262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed 1win29c69.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.471,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9f80…14c8backed paiN Gaming46c63.96$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.541050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed paiN Gaming63c61.96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.782,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed paiN Gaming40c61.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.691,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked paiN Gaming57c60.29$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1991356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0caa…b2bdbacked 1win53c57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2714762.6%92 W · 55 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf73…53edbacked paiN Gaming62c55$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-67.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b9…0a9bbacked 1win56c54.61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5810156.4%57 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed 1win29c53.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3a4…d574backed paiN Gaming59c52$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5043…c922backed 1win34c50.45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.19229.1%2 W · 20 L-7.4wins-0.34per pick43cpaid-82.5%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x29a5…65c5backed paiN Gaming62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196560%39 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked paiN Gaming42c49.98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9917638.6%68 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked paiN Gaming63c49.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4731251.3%160 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed 1win39c49.13$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1671342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed 1win55c49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.959156%51 W · 40 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked 1win29c48.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145453.7%29 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked paiN Gaming42c44.11$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.588739.1%34 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xebe2…e4d2backed paiN Gaming53c42.6$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.027753.2%41 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked paiN Gaming48c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.843852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed paiN Gaming41c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.618248.9%89 W · 93 L+15.0wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad06…b132backed paiN Gaming41c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.62657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c3a…5c97backed paiN Gaming41c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.61369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x34c5…db89backed paiN Gaming45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2212759.8%76 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7db…4fa3backed paiN Gaming58c38.7$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.253151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed paiN Gaming48c37.93$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6218739%73 W · 114 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed 1win52c37.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.624748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbda…8bd5backed paiN Gaming45c35.83$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8913259.8%79 W · 53 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed 1win54c34.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.711957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x78c8…9290backed paiN Gaming52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.852138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5edf…7139backed paiN Gaming75c26.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.661090%9 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick64cpaid+44.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe51e…3e70backed paiN Gaming73c25.74$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x152b…9430backed 1win54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe10f…c59fbacked paiN Gaming72c18.06$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.067100%7 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14f7…0140backed paiN Gaming60c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked paiN Gaming74c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6844474.8%332 W · 112 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd13c…39adbacked paiN Gaming64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.