TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3176…20d4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT4665.2%30 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.1
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.91
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.1
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.69
Bulls vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.26
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.96
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.96
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$38.09
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$28.01
Jazz vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$26.08
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15.15
Grizzlies vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.94
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.9
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.68
Cavaliers vs. Pelicansbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick72cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.63
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.17
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.83
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.08
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.19
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Abacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.29
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.46
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.42
LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.25
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.23
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.19
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.18
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$12.33
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Panthers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Islanders vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Panthers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$15.27
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.6
Blackhawks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.29
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.65
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$15.04
Will Montenegro win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.34
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+254.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+254.2%+$38.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+163.2%+$18.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Randers FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.