Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Randers FC win on 2026-04-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf53d5617e48892154ff2650f7fe60a8748623d8033faade28d50310f9f49c8c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 4,480$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627.43 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 72c | 2,622$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.6 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 42c | 1,632$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.12 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 39c | 1,358$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.62 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 969.99$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 645$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.18 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 59c | 625.27$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.55 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 57c | 279.55$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.9 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Yes | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 41c | 250$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 41c | 249.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 41c | 249.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 43c | 234.88$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 19c | 167.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 39c | 154.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 61c | 154$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 59c | 146.72$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 59c | 144.75$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 53c | 115.16$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 53c | 115.16$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 58c | 110$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Yes | 41c | 108.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 38c | 105.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…3914backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…229abacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 31c | 86.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 42c | 79.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…bc74backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5d…ef01backed Yes | 41c | 76.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 74.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 41c | 73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 41c | 70.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 59c | 65.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 40c | 65.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 18c | 59.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 70c | 58.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 28c | 55.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 62c | 55.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc466…e660backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 61c | 40.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 43c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 73c | 37.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 73c | 37.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 73c | 37.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 73c | 37.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Yes | 73c | 37.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…10f6backed Yes | 43c | 35.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Yes | 72c | 35.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes | 72c | 35.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 136 | 28.7%39 W · 97 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked Yes | 38c | 34.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 51c | 31.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8340…b29bbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3176…20d4backed Yes | 67c | 28.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 58c | 28.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 27.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed No | 55c | 25.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…6b45backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 57c | 24.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Yes | 72c | 20.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 61c | 19.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 67c | 19.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes | 72c | 15.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Randers FC win on 2026-04-06?this page
- Will Vejle BK vs. Randers FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Vejle BK win on 2026-04-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.