Tennis · resolved market
Bucaramanga: Guido Justo vs Franco Roncadelli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7edac709e0c1527d4bda509e3a9c8eb5ec4c2a55e3aa50a23255dc8ef30ee14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guido Justoof Guido Justo, Franco Roncadelli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked Guido Justo | 74c | 10,326$7,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.62 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Franco Roncadelli | 8c | 5,101$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.28 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Franco Roncadelli | 16c | 1,986$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.74 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Franco Roncadelli | 34c | 1,835$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.57 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Franco Roncadelli | 22c | 1,814$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.08 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Guido Justo | 68c | 1,048$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.21 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Franco Roncadelli | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Franco Roncadelli | 8c | 887.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…92d8backed Guido Justo | 65c | 753.78$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.78 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Franco Roncadelli | 9c | 633.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Franco Roncadelli | 35c | 599.96$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Franco Roncadelli | 27c | 585.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Franco Roncadelli | 7c | 504.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b45…4145backed Franco Roncadelli | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Franco Roncadelli | 31c | 481.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Franco Roncadelli | 32c | 440.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.48 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Guido Justo | 69c | 434.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Franco Roncadelli | 28c | 381.19$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.32 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Guido Justo | 65c | 378.42$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.83 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Guido Justo | 74c | 350$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.55 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Franco Roncadelli | 9c | 341$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Franco Roncadelli | 32c | 332.67$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.14 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Franco Roncadelli | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Franco Roncadelli | 35c | 280$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Franco Roncadelli | 8c | 279.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Franco Roncadelli | 6c | 214.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Franco Roncadelli | 8c | 204.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Franco Roncadelli | 29c | 198.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Franco Roncadelli | 20c | 198.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Guido Justo | 76c | 196.09$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Guido Justo | 79c | 170$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Franco Roncadelli | 31c | 157.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Franco Roncadelli | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 42.1%51 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6864…9e27backed Franco Roncadelli | 13c | 149.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Franco Roncadelli | 34c | 141.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Franco Roncadelli | 36c | 115.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Franco Roncadelli | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…e669backed Franco Roncadelli | 33c | 108$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Franco Roncadelli | 30c | 99.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b6…4587backed Franco Roncadelli | 15c | 85.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeea0…e902backed Franco Roncadelli | 23c | 84.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Franco Roncadelli | 20c | 79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Franco Roncadelli | 36c | 77.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0f…72ddbacked Guido Justo | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 129 | 65.9%85 W · 44 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f08…57bcbacked Guido Justo | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Franco Roncadelli | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Franco Roncadelli | 35c | 65.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Franco Roncadelli | 35c | 62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Franco Roncadelli | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Franco Roncadelli | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Guido Justo | 65c | 57.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Franco Roncadelli | 32c | 56.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 689 | 51.1%352 W · 337 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…7a38backed Franco Roncadelli | 33c | 54.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 181 | 64.1%116 W · 65 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Franco Roncadelli | 32c | 46.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 262 | 54.6%143 W · 119 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…3be3backed Franco Roncadelli | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Guido Justo | 67c | 43.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Guido Justo | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…bd37backed Franco Roncadelli | 37c | 40.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x474f…8ec6backed Guido Justo | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Guido Justo | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 474 | 53.2%252 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd5…bf27backed Franco Roncadelli | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…d2b5backed Franco Roncadelli | 34c | 35.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 416 | 68%283 W · 133 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd433…7666backed Franco Roncadelli | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Guido Justo | 66c | 28.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Guido Justo | 68c | 27.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Guido Justo | 65c | 18.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…4691backed Guido Justo | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.