Tennis · resolved market
Alicante: Roman Safiullin vs Max Houkes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d3ff8961aba8b6f83884b3dadd60df03365d50ab5df47ca7d8160bcd4de3ebb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Roman Safiullinof Roman Safiullin, Max Houkes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Roman Safiullin | 79c | 5,065$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.23 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdd…6261backed Roman Safiullin | 78c | 4,854$3,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Max Houkes | 20c | 3,911$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.99 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Roman Safiullin | 79c | 3,447$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.88 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Max Houkes | 21c | 3,099$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.77 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Max Houkes | 22c | 3,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Max Houkes | 17c | 1,937$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.82 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0680…1e45backed Roman Safiullin | 79c | 1,807$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Max Houkes | 22c | 1,662$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.54 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Max Houkes | 12c | 1,591$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.53 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Roman Safiullin | 75c | 1,341$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.97 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Roman Safiullin | 76c | 1,320$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.8 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Max Houkes | 15c | 1,306$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Max Houkes | 22c | 1,253$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.65 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Max Houkes | 22c | 1,247$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.49 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Roman Safiullin | 75c | 1,093$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.35 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Max Houkes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.26 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Max Houkes | 9c | 888.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Max Houkes | 11c | 827.75$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.08 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Max Houkes | 23c | 747$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.2 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Max Houkes | 11c | 738.05$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Max Houkes | 25c | 621.73$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.79 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Max Houkes | 21c | 619.64$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.97 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed Max Houkes | 24c | 600.92$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.22 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Max Houkes | 22c | 599.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Roman Safiullin | 74c | 583.22$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.64 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Roman Safiullin | 79c | 555.42$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Roman Safiullin | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93f…3c12backed Max Houkes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Max Houkes | 19c | 420$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.77 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Roman Safiullin | 77c | 389.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.68 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Max Houkes | 19c | 383$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Max Houkes | 24c | 375$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Max Houkes | 18c | 359.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Max Houkes | 18c | 347.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Max Houkes | 19c | 335$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Max Houkes | 24c | 300$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Max Houkes | 14c | 296.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c0…2995backed Max Houkes | 17c | 276.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Max Houkes | 22c | 215.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Max Houkes | 23c | 206.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 131 | 13.7%18 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed Max Houkes | 12c | 190.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 313 | 58.5%183 W · 130 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Max Houkes | 21c | 190$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Max Houkes | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2608…4468backed Max Houkes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Max Houkes | 22c | 144$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Max Houkes | 23c | 140.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Roman Safiullin | 73c | 138.71$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8742…5e43backed Max Houkes | 13c | 138.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Max Houkes | 15c | 136.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Roman Safiullin | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Max Houkes | 26c | 124$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c31…ae43backed Max Houkes | 11c | 117.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Max Houkes | 11c | 106$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Max Houkes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Max Houkes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Max Houkes | 22c | 96.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed Max Houkes | 16c | 88.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…804ebacked Max Houkes | 12c | 83.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 155 | 14.2%22 W · 133 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Roman Safiullin | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 299 | 47.5%142 W · 157 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac14…415abacked Max Houkes | 15c | 74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked Roman Safiullin | 78c | 51.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Roman Safiullin | 78c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Roman Safiullin | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Max Houkes | 28c | 38.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed Roman Safiullin | 77c | 20.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb02…b642backed Roman Safiullin | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 63 | 74.6%47 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…4691backed Roman Safiullin | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Roman Safiullin | 78c | 13.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alicante: Roman Safiullin vs Max Houkesthis page
- Roman Safiullin vs. Max Houkes: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.