Tennis · resolved market
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Timofey Skatov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff2ed7a8a369ee5af5ec4c7830200b24cd33b44f1cbabd0ff44068904c98d18d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sebastian Ofnerof Sebastian Ofner, Timofey Skatov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,678 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timofey Skatov | 6c | 6,090$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.12 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timofey Skatov | 6c | 4,548$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.51 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timofey Skatov | 11c | 2,325$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.03 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timofey Skatov | 7c | 2,120$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.11 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Timofey Skatov | 9c | 1,034$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Timofey Skatov | 15c | 745.49$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.85 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Timofey Skatov | 11c | 726.73$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.91 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Timofey Skatov | 27c | 720$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.2 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Timofey Skatov | 4c | 417$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Sebastian Ofner | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Timofey Skatov | 6c | 351.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Timofey Skatov | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Timofey Skatov | 10c | 270.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Sebastian Ofner | 74c | 268.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.63 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fe…dd6dbacked Timofey Skatov | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Timofey Skatov | 25c | 199.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Timofey Skatov | 27c | 190.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timofey Skatov | 11c | 180$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Sebastian Ofner | 73c | 137$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Sebastian Ofner | 77c | 135$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Sebastian Ofner | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Timofey Skatov | 20c | 122.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Timofey Skatov | 11c | 120.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Timofey Skatov | 13c | 112$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timofey Skatov | 25c | 108.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Timofey Skatov | 26c | 107.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Timofey Skatov | 31c | 104.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Sebastian Ofner | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Timofey Skatov | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Timofey Skatov | 22c | 95.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Timofey Skatov | 14c | 81.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2e25backed Timofey Skatov | 14c | 72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…f6efbacked Timofey Skatov | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Sebastian Ofner | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 299 | 47.5%142 W · 157 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Sebastian Ofner | 73c | 69.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 341 | 48.1%164 W · 177 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Sebastian Ofner | 74c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Timofey Skatov | 25c | 56.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Timofey Skatov | 22c | 49.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Sebastian Ofner | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Sebastian Ofner | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked Sebastian Ofner | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Sebastian Ofner | 74c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f36…b511backed Sebastian Ofner | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Sebastian Ofner | 75c | 18.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 181 | 66.9%121 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…4691backed Sebastian Ofner | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Sebastian Ofner | 72c | 15.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x157e…7acabacked Sebastian Ofner | 79c | 15.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 261 | 69.3%181 W · 80 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Timofey Skatovthis page
- Ofner vs. Skatov: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.