TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Solaryof Esprit Shōnen, Solary
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,993
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,040

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,993 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x509d…0a6bbacked Solary78c13,655$10,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,059.2667056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Esprit Shōnen22c13,611$3,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,048.124741.3%102 W · 145 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Solary79c3,951$3,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.562,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Esprit Shōnen22c3,931$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.3534536.5%126 W · 219 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Esprit Shōnen21c3,471$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.631,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Solary78c2,840$2,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.781,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Esprit Shōnen21c1,849$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.0854246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e0…8412backed Esprit Shōnen4c1,525$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.161533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Esprit Shōnen19c1,301$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.3956341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Esprit Shōnen9c1,137$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1811111.7%13 W · 98 L-17.1wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-78.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Solary80c1,044$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.7359450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f9…db30backed Esprit Shōnen13c947.8$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.217631.6%24 W · 52 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-32.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Solary80c897.46$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.4982554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Solary79c699.97$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9910541.9%44 W · 61 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Esprit Shōnen20c692.76$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.551,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51d9…8116backed Esprit Shōnen22c651.1$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.981741.2%7 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick27cpaid+94.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed Esprit Shōnen16c641.54$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4868942.5%293 W · 396 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab2…b321backed Esprit Shōnen20c602$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.42138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Esprit Shōnen14c542.79$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8723649.2%116 W · 120 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5511…5734backed Esprit Shōnen19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9524029.2%70 W · 170 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Solary80c475.94$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.334768.1%32 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Esprit Shōnen14c474.2$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3933251.5%171 W · 161 L+33.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Esprit Shōnen18c471.91$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3799338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Esprit Shōnen11c441.13$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0220826.9%56 W · 152 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Esprit Shōnen12c384.37$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.583,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b7e…ef88backed Esprit Shōnen9c372.85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7122229.3%65 W · 157 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Esprit Shōnen13c329.38$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.52,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Esprit Shōnen16c328.7$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.592,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed Esprit Shōnen21c328.58$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2950647.2%239 W · 267 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Solary78c322.73$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4497…d5afbacked Esprit Shōnen22c307.62$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.681250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Esprit Shōnen12c300$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371,05823.5%249 W · 809 L-75.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Esprit Shōnen18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Esprit Shōnen9c283.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4778043.1%336 W · 444 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ef1…add2backed Solary78c276.3$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7922867.5%154 W · 74 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6f0c…a691backed Solary78c254.95$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8562150.6%314 W · 307 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed Solary78c253.03$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.671,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Esprit Shōnen15c250$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Esprit Shōnen21c238.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0148143.2%208 W · 273 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Solary80c235.49$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.12,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Esprit Shōnen15c222.07$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3139239%153 W · 239 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7a…6c9abacked Esprit Shōnen13c218.72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4320458.8%120 W · 84 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Esprit Shōnen17c197.01$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4979653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a6…fbadbacked Solary79c195.16$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1710760.7%65 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3976…d68ebacked Esprit Shōnen15c190.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4811630.2%35 W · 81 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd7e…6686backed Esprit Shōnen22c175.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.471145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70e0…6821backed Esprit Shōnen21c158.77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.346041.7%25 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Esprit Shōnen20c157.08$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.421,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Esprit Shōnen19c151.59$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.481,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Esprit Shōnen20c142.78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2730441.8%127 W · 177 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0677…e865backed Esprit Shōnen19c137.69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.79238%35 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2417…86b1backed Esprit Shōnen21c136.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5817945.3%81 W · 98 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2cea…2d58backed Esprit Shōnen20c132.8$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5616354%88 W · 75 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Esprit Shōnen13c130$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1740231.3%126 W · 276 L-28.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc45…2957backed Solary80c123.79$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.011586.7%13 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick65cpaid+37.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0302…9070backed Solary80c123.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.71353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Esprit Shōnen14c123.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9136946.1%170 W · 199 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa8…d75fbacked Esprit Shōnen12c123.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.25540%22 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe751…9af6backed Esprit Shōnen23c122.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6225945.2%117 W · 142 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Esprit Shōnen9c117.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9823624.6%58 W · 178 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c88…1e97backed Solary80c109.83$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.973461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Esprit Shōnen12c102$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1617325.4%44 W · 129 L-19.5wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-54.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Esprit Shōnen23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2324941.4%103 W · 146 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Solary80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.051,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Esprit Shōnen15c98.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7348042.3%203 W · 277 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa4e…5973backed Esprit Shōnen15c97.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6755744%245 W · 312 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Esprit Shōnen18c92.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2949514.3%71 W · 424 L-70.5wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-50.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Solary79c89.74$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0439056.4%220 W · 170 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Esprit Shōnen18c88.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0914429.2%42 W · 102 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3c4…a7ffbacked Solary80c87.46$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6821266.5%141 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Esprit Shōnen16c79.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3316240.7%66 W · 96 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Solary79c73.11$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.351,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked Esprit Shōnen15c70$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.560124.1%145 W · 456 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Esprit Shōnen21c68.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2915747.8%75 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9368…8b01backed Esprit Shōnen21c63.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3412732.3%41 W · 86 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…b387backed Esprit Shōnen20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1264749.5%320 W · 327 L+3.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Esprit Shōnen20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053954.7%295 W · 244 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe658…2c42backed Esprit Shōnen20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018141.4%75 W · 106 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081f…d5c0backed Solary79c49.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.52853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Solary80c47.3$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.740145.4%182 W · 219 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe61a…292dbacked Solary80c37.05$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4146154.9%253 W · 208 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Solary79c35$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3560849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Solary79c27.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.797558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44ad…5e0fbacked Solary79c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.94785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick72cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.