TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8c88…1e97

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Valorant at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT3461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.49
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.55
LoL: ZYB Esport vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked ZYB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.82
LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$48.45
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.46
LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.43
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.6
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.7
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.05
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$41.14
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$41.37
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$31.99
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.03
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.25
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$73.12
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$45.34
LoL: ZYB Esport vs TLN Pirates (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked ZYB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$56.91
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$27.07
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.46
LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Esprit Shōnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.52
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.23
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.09
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+57%+$31.97
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+43%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$20.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.