Lol · resolved market
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d72a3924f86a76aeb2bab1b3011c34337aace2d81dbb67163600a63a20322d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Orange Gamingof ROSSMANN Centaurs, Team Orange Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 20c | 2,521$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.46 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 18c | 1,751$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.17 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Team Orange Gaming | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 9c | 850.92$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dad…4e35backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 11c | 610.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…3af0backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 4c | 575.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 13c | 540.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.53 | 140 | 35.7%50 W · 90 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…a57ebacked Team Orange Gaming | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 8c | 499.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 111 | 11.7%13 W · 98 L | -17.1wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Team Orange Gaming | 79c | 499.95$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 9c | 381.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 15c | 377.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c55…14bbbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 13c | 371$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 20c | 358.84$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 19c | 352.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 14c | 339.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 668 | 45.5%304 W · 364 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a04…9200backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 19c | 338$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2112…38e9backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 6c | 329.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…ce73backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 19c | 317$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 18c | 279.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…75f5backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 7c | 273.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe751…9af6backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 19c | 256.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 259 | 45.2%117 W · 142 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 11c | 248.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f32…b46cbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 5c | 248.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 16c | 237.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 15c | 211.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Team Orange Gaming | 80c | 198.68$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 14c | 197.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 14c | 192.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 312 | 44.6%139 W · 173 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 15c | 192.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 14c | 181.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 21c | 151.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 247 | 41.3%102 W · 145 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 18c | 146.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 18c | 145.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x271f…0a04backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 19c | 139.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 10c | 129$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 208 | 26.9%56 W · 152 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c88…1e97backed Team Orange Gaming | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 20c | 120.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 17c | 115.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 185 | 42.2%78 W · 107 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Team Orange Gaming | 79c | 113.73$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 15c | 112.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 18c | 108.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 16c | 103.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 696 | 44.4%309 W · 387 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 402 | 31.3%126 W · 276 L | -28.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 580 | 42.4%246 W · 334 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Team Orange Gaming | 80c | 72.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 214 | 51.4%110 W · 104 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 18c | 54.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 495 | 14.3%71 W · 424 L | -70.5wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Team Orange Gaming | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed Team Orange Gaming | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.