Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4975cca3c61fbd31fd046063b65dec1d8a49b0b5bf7ca43f5497c5102f04fa33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Movistar KOIof Movistar KOI, Team Heretics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Team Heretics | 42c | 7,696$3,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,232.35 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Movistar KOI | 58c | 4,137$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.67 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Team Heretics | 18c | 1,220$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.51 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked Movistar KOI | 58c | 840.34$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.94 | 252 | 68.3%172 W · 80 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2248…bc0ebacked Movistar KOI | 76c | 650.66$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.94 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…5d9bbacked Movistar KOI | 58c | 506.9$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.9 | 407 | 52.3%213 W · 194 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Team Heretics | 43c | 339.26$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.9 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Movistar KOI | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 281 | 50.5%142 W · 139 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd142…5c9ebacked Movistar KOI | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 259 | 42.1%109 W · 150 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Team Heretics | 42c | 319.26$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.09 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Movistar KOI | 57c | 291.41$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.31 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Movistar KOI | 57c | 289.86$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.64 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Heretics | 24c | 276.86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Movistar KOI | 57c | 248.78$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.14 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Team Heretics | 43c | 241.45$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Heretics | 24c | 226.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Movistar KOI | 57c | 199.4$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Movistar KOI | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 326 | 50.3%164 W · 162 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Movistar KOI | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…79bbbacked Movistar KOI | 58c | 159.67$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Movistar KOI | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Team Heretics | 34c | 136.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Movistar KOI | 58c | 126.05$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Heretics | 24c | 123.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…5c00backed Team Heretics | 43c | 103.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa25c…4f0ebacked Movistar KOI | 58c | 99.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Movistar KOI | 58c | 87.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Movistar KOI | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Movistar KOI | 58c | 82.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Team Heretics | 44c | 78.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Movistar KOI | 56c | 71.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Movistar KOI | 58c | 64.81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 581 | 55.6%323 W · 258 L | +17.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Movistar KOI | 79c | 62.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 645 | 56.6%365 W · 280 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Team Heretics | 40c | 59.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c88…1e97backed Movistar KOI | 73c | 53.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Team Heretics | 27c | 53.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Team Heretics | 42c | 52.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Movistar KOI | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a41…15b2backed Movistar KOI | 58c | 48.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Movistar KOI | 58c | 45.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Team Heretics | 43c | 44.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 501 | 58.3%292 W · 209 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…e369backed Movistar KOI | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…7006backed Movistar KOI | 58c | 41.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 205 | 63.4%130 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…890cbacked Movistar KOI | 74c | 39.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Heretics | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Movistar KOI | 57c | 35.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed Movistar KOI | 58c | 34.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 316 | 61.1%193 W · 123 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Team Heretics | 43c | 33.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Movistar KOI | 71c | 32.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Movistar KOI | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17c…584fbacked Movistar KOI | 60c | 28.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9f…7e5dbacked Movistar KOI | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 204 | 63.2%129 W · 75 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9d…5d14backed Movistar KOI | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…1caebacked Movistar KOI | 58c | 23.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Movistar KOI won
- First Blood in Game 2?Team Heretics won
- Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?No won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonMovistar KOI won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerMovistar KOI won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerMovistar KOI won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.