TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Top Esportsof Bilibili Gaming, Top Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,704
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,997

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,704 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Bilibili Gaming52c8,195$4,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,259.41,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Top Esports47c8,087$3,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,286.1733838.2%129 W · 209 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Top Esports48c6,055$2,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,148.68951.7%46 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Bilibili Gaming53c4,859$2,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,575.275261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Bilibili Gaming53c4,035$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.7645041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7cb…4088backed Bilibili Gaming53c3,458$1,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.768647.7%41 W · 45 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Top Esports48c3,000$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,55048440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Top Esports46c1,757$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.6354353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed Top Esports48c1,515$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.8311249.1%55 W · 57 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Bilibili Gaming50c1,435$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.6132145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Bilibili Gaming52c1,380$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.8464155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Bilibili Gaming52c1,005$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.5364749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Top Esports50c989.4$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.791854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Top Esports48c706.42$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.342665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+29.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Bilibili Gaming48c637.29$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.970456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe647…2040backed Top Esports48c605.5$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.866553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Top Esports52c560.31$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.958440.5%34 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Top Esports47c538.41$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.362,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e71…eba7backed Top Esports48c512.37$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.4312349.6%61 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6265…c6c1backed Bilibili Gaming51c498.43$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.2944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…c848backed Bilibili Gaming52c484.99$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.195030%15 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Top Esports48c412.06$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.277548%36 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Top Esports48c403.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9139541.3%163 W · 232 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Top Esports49c399.99$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20460538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Top Esports50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19428150.5%142 W · 139 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7253…0558backed Bilibili Gaming52c376.48$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1918236.8%67 W · 115 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Top Esports49c350$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.523932.6%78 W · 161 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Bilibili Gaming53c341.42$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.8486144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3105…2e7ebacked Top Esports48c315.69$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.166858.8%40 W · 28 L+9.8wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+35.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Bilibili Gaming53c299.95$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.9739152.2%204 W · 187 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Top Esports48c293.32$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.5316346.6%76 W · 87 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Bilibili Gaming53c291.54$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.5220239.6%80 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Top Esports67c260.86$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.450158.3%292 W · 209 L-17.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Bilibili Gaming52c252.14$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.11922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick53cpaid-69%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x151e…c6dbbacked Top Esports48c242.2$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.941145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Top Esports48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.951,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Bilibili Gaming52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10452045%234 W · 286 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed Top Esports49c193.88$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8842050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Bilibili Gaming63c188.95$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2479864.3%513 W · 285 L+32.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked Bilibili Gaming53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1899747.1%470 W · 527 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf233…589dbacked Top Esports48c181.65$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.462552%13 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Top Esports48c174.38$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.686352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe844…3d42backed Bilibili Gaming54c155.12$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.764755.3%26 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b82…a340backed Top Esports48c153.39$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.763138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6722…865fbacked Top Esports48c151.38$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7211443.9%50 W · 64 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Bilibili Gaming51c148.27$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6220348.8%99 W · 104 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…2af9backed Top Esports48c145.32$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.5755750.4%281 W · 276 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8593…8cfbbacked Bilibili Gaming54c144.94$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.789962.6%62 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea2…370cbacked Top Esports48c142.88$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.347434.8%165 W · 309 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe660…2ac1backed Bilibili Gaming52c142.02$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8520150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Top Esports48c129.74$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.382,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf64f…9f48backed Top Esports24c128.96$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.016230.6%19 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Bilibili Gaming52c112.06$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2782161%501 W · 320 L+1.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Top Esports51c107.47$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8747455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Top Esports47c106.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4539056.4%220 W · 170 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Top Esports46c105.2$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8218640.9%76 W · 110 L-14.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Top Esports59c100.18$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4749346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Top Esports50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4619…2108backed Bilibili Gaming52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbed4…f891backed Bilibili Gaming52c99.95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.551247.3%242 W · 270 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…fcccbacked Bilibili Gaming13c99.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.553850%19 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed Bilibili Gaming51c99.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4761150.6%309 W · 302 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe10c…e7e2backed Bilibili Gaming50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.510842.6%46 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa338…e65cbacked Top Esports48c90.83$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.231361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25ba…0acfbacked Bilibili Gaming47c71.01$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.191010%1 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.34per pick44cpaid-75%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Bilibili Gaming53c69.89$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0334945.6%159 W · 190 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Bilibili Gaming53c68.03$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0511354%61 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d48…f5a2backed Bilibili Gaming53c64.13$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.997244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed Bilibili Gaming53c62.64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1439445.2%178 W · 216 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Bilibili Gaming53c61.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.951,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Top Esports67c59.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2017349.7%86 W · 87 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Top Esports65c54.22$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9826754.7%146 W · 121 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Bilibili Gaming52c52.63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3739450.3%198 W · 196 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Top Esports21c51.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8435054.6%191 W · 159 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e15…8ea4backed Top Esports48c50.76$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.542065%13 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+43.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ad0…31e6backed Top Esports48c47.23$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.561855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Top Esports52c46.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.692,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x175d…23a0backed Top Esports48c42.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.951266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Top Esports46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.660849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c88…1e97backed Bilibili Gaming53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.23461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe252…2071backed Bilibili Gaming51c39.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3935751.5%184 W · 173 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb322…cf12backed Top Esports49c39.58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Bilibili Gaming57c34.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4861849.8%308 W · 310 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Bilibili Gaming42c33.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.171,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8381…a304backed Top Esports64c30.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.016662.1%41 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dbf…a9ffbacked Top Esports48c30.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.743759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Bilibili Gaming56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82626.9%7 W · 19 L-6.5wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-50%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4a41…15b2backed Bilibili Gaming51c29.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8513842.8%59 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Top Esports44c28.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2437641.8%157 W · 219 L-18.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Bilibili Gaming60c27.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.519966.7%66 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb6…2992backed Top Esports52c26.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.59742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Bilibili Gaming52c25.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5163458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Top Esports50c25.43$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7211651.7%60 W · 56 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Bilibili Gaming53c23.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6317366.5%115 W · 58 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30ab…f338backed Bilibili Gaming53c21.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4523443.2%101 W · 133 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.