Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x217417c8e0824448d75fa881f9f1e1aa786e793b386ccbef7072258fad2bf3f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 59c | 4,072$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.53 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Under | 60c | 1,734$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.47 | 201 | 51.7%104 W · 97 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 40c | 1,601$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.2 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 48c | 1,490$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.38 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 40c | 1,484$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.17 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 41c | 1,451$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 41c | 1,170$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.7 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -14.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Over | 40c | 1,111$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.4 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -10.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 61c | 976.6$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.87 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 39c | 964.46$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.14 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Under | 66c | 698.45$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.18 | 274 | 47.8%131 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 43c | 617.99$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.65 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 39c | 570.79$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.61 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Over | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…2941backed Over | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 52c | 328.86$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 58c | 303.64$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.53 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed Under | 61c | 292.98$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.26 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed Over | 40c | 291.61$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.64 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 23c | 265.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.18 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…a17abacked Over | 40c | 221.62$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81cf…9227backed Under | 50c | 215$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Over | 42c | 193.04$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 394 | 51%201 W · 193 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Over | 43c | 167.47$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…ac15backed Under | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over | 67c | 135.72$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.04 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…4e05backed Over | 40c | 122.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -6.0wins | -0.35per pick | 59cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 67c | 121.33$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.39 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…5735backed Over | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 41c | 119.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Under | 59c | 109.85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 61c | 99.61$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 50c | 99.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Under | 60c | 97.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 40c | 93.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 128 | 34.4%44 W · 84 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Over | 51c | 83.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 42c | 76.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Under | 61c | 69.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc389…d228backed Under | 22c | 65.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Over | 51c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 208 | 36.1%75 W · 133 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Over | 51c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 342 | 35.7%122 W · 220 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…476abacked Over | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 187 | 56.7%106 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9640…e137backed Under | 33c | 43.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8822…2cf8backed Over | 69c | 43.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 59c | 42.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93a…8a46backed Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 60c | 35.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5d…047bbacked Over | 69c | 35.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Under | 53c | 34.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 134 | 54.5%73 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Over | 42c | 31.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -9.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Under | 57c | 30.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.5wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 61c | 26.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 61c | 19.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Under | 61c | 17.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed Under | 61c | 17.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Top Esports won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)Top Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.