Tennis · resolved market
Gwangju: James McCabe vs Leandro Riedi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ae554015b23892bb671a435be5c8fbca43f3269d58f4b8edb4df71b29fda1d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leandro Riediof James McCabe, Leandro Riedi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed James McCabe | 8c | 5,676$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.53 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Leandro Riedi | 51c | 1,568$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.51 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked James McCabe | 29c | 1,524$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.92 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked James McCabe | 12c | 1,116$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.73 | 380 | 13.9%53 W · 327 L | -38.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed James McCabe | 13c | 971.81$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.19 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked James McCabe | 9c | 833.79$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.96 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed James McCabe | 49c | 791.35$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.76 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed James McCabe | 12c | 733.35$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.36 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Leandro Riedi | 67c | 588.46$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.19 | 277 | 39%108 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Leandro Riedi | 78c | 506.05$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.33 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked James McCabe | 6c | 464.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…f1a6backed James McCabe | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Leandro Riedi | 67c | 312.53$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.13 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed James McCabe | 12c | 299.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 336 | 47.3%159 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked James McCabe | 25c | 299.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked James McCabe | 8c | 249.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked James McCabe | 12c | 199.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed James McCabe | 49c | 196.89$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.47 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed James McCabe | 27c | 158.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Leandro Riedi | 79c | 150.12$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc45…2957backed Leandro Riedi | 68c | 145.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked James McCabe | 12c | 135.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed James McCabe | 10c | 131.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Leandro Riedi | 76c | 112.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa41…2239backed James McCabe | 21c | 108.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed James McCabe | 27c | 107.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Leandro Riedi | 79c | 100.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed James McCabe | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed James McCabe | 11c | 98.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72d…9196backed James McCabe | 26c | 86.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed James McCabe | 13c | 85.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked James McCabe | 19c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Leandro Riedi | 75c | 65.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked James McCabe | 21c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x970e…97ddbacked James McCabe | 27c | 53.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6e…7132backed Leandro Riedi | 75c | 52.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed James McCabe | 27c | 50.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9eb…42c2backed Leandro Riedi | 75c | 42.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x386b…380dbacked Leandro Riedi | 75c | 40.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Leandro Riedi | 75c | 39.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked James McCabe | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed James McCabe | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 134 | 58.2%78 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Leandro Riedi | 74c | 37.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked James McCabe | 57c | 34.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 468 | 48.5%227 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Leandro Riedi | 78c | 27.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Leandro Riedi | 74c | 26.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Leandro Riedi | 80c | 24.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 284 | 54.9%156 W · 128 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c4…169dbacked Leandro Riedi | 75c | 18.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.