Tennis · resolved market
Oeiras 3: Katarzyna Kawa vs Simona Waltert
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x853042509acccd3e4d408a6a879eeedee8e5a01db8de59e497ce7e4bde63b01f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Simona Waltertof Katarzyna Kawa, Simona Waltert
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Katarzyna Kawa | 37c | 3,793$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.83 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Katarzyna Kawa | 16c | 3,347$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.7 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Simona Waltert | 73c | 2,581$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.71 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Katarzyna Kawa | 27c | 1,377$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.8 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Katarzyna Kawa | 42c | 1,074$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.88 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Katarzyna Kawa | 46c | 1,065$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.91 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Simona Waltert | 75c | 1,057$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Katarzyna Kawa | 28c | 979.69$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.17 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Simona Waltert | 68c | 846.91$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.85 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Katarzyna Kawa | 20c | 757.76$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.66 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Simona Waltert | 69c | 640.55$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.95 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Simona Waltert | 55c | 530.73$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.83 | 1,844 | 45.7%843 W · 1,001 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Simona Waltert | 79c | 474.95$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Simona Waltert | 57c | 438.59$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.59 | 2,056 | 59.5%1,224 W · 832 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Katarzyna Kawa | 27c | 379.29$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.14 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Simona Waltert | 71c | 367.73$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.97 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffc…4893backed Simona Waltert | 79c | 350.84$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 68cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Katarzyna Kawa | 28c | 341.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Simona Waltert | 73c | 276.39$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Simona Waltert | 54c | 270.11$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 252 | 50%126 W · 126 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Simona Waltert | 52c | 252.42$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.12 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Simona Waltert | 56c | 222.63$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 1,920 | 55.4%1,064 W · 856 L | -44.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…78edbacked Simona Waltert | 55c | 215.83$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.12 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Simona Waltert | 54c | 202.58$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.19 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -9.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Simona Waltert | 63c | 183.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 389 | 55.3%215 W · 174 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Simona Waltert | 54c | 181.75$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.61 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Simona Waltert | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Katarzyna Kawa | 46c | 168.85$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.32 | 1,016 | 57.7%586 W · 430 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Katarzyna Kawa | 15c | 144.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Simona Waltert | 72c | 122.9$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Katarzyna Kawa | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Katarzyna Kawa | 27c | 110.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Simona Waltert | 67c | 107.67$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Katarzyna Kawa | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc45…2957backed Simona Waltert | 53c | 99.51$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Simona Waltert | 55c | 97.48$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 1,842 | 44.8%825 W · 1,017 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Simona Waltert | 56c | 89.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298e…8a75backed Simona Waltert | 54c | 89.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Simona Waltert | 67c | 80.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Simona Waltert | 67c | 76.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Simona Waltert | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 360 | 64.4%232 W · 128 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31d…e7a4backed Simona Waltert | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Simona Waltert | 55c | 70.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…26f2backed Katarzyna Kawa | 37c | 64.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…7a99backed Simona Waltert | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…468bbacked Katarzyna Kawa | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9a…4d42backed Simona Waltert | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Katarzyna Kawa | 42c | 44.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 491 | 42.8%210 W · 281 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Katarzyna Kawa | 45c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 322 | 47.2%152 W · 170 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Katarzyna Kawa | 45c | 38.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Katarzyna Kawa | 45c | 38.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Simona Waltert | 58c | 36.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked Simona Waltert | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Simona Waltert | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Simona Waltert | 58c | 33.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 249 | 65.1%162 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Simona Waltert | 62c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked Katarzyna Kawa | 31c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 390 | 39.5%154 W · 236 L | -46.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Katarzyna Kawa | 40c | 30.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 3,862 | 34.9%1,348 W · 2,514 L | +92.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Katarzyna Kawa | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Simona Waltert | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Katarzyna Kawa | 45c | 22.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1,965 | 46.4%911 W · 1,054 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Simona Waltert | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -8.0wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Simona Waltert | 76c | 14.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 330 | 65.8%217 W · 113 L | +25.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oeiras 3: Katarzyna Kawa vs Simona Waltertthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Kawa vs WaltertWaltert won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.