South American Leagues · resolved market
CF América vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb22fdcfd5424043f260c8fab46185dc36a594cb578d30b74e0ee42b791f3774a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,216 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 2,221$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.91 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 1,929$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.72 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 52c | 1,484$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.8 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 48c | 1,129$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.73 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 30c | 817.67$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.37 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1bfdbacked Over | 48c | 798.6$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.27 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 784.82$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.05 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Over | 60c | 741.18$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.31 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 42c | 731.76$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.51 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 44c | 546.86$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.24 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 14c | 500$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…83dbbacked Under | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 47c | 498.78$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.35 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Under | 39c | 283.35$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 32c | 237.4$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.49 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 58c | 236.51$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.93 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 27c | 151.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 66c | 136.46$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 68c | 128.24$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.88 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 52c | 118.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 104.28$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 56c | 102.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc45…2957backed Under | 52c | 96.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 27c | 92.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.48 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +78%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 37c | 76.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 20c | 70.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 51c | 70.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 67.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 45c | 66.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 19c | 62.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…81c5backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 72c | 36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 59c | 33.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 46c | 33.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Over | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae77…fa72backed Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 53c | 29.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 45c | 28.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Under | 80c | 28.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…9b64backed Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca1…5446backed Under | 57c | 24.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8213…cc85backed Under | 53c | 19.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 64c | 17.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF América vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5this page
- CF América vs. FC Juárez: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF América vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF América vs. FC Juárez: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF América vs. FC Juárez: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CF América (-1.5)FC Juárez won
- Spread: CF América (-2.5)FC Juárez won
- Spread: FC Juárez (-1.5)CF América won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.