CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Omega vs megoshort - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xace34d6fec88dfcbf76c5fa3537f54678858eb7faec0df83dbf289d58a9ad02f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Omegaof Omega, megoshort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,442 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Omega | 61c | 2,932$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.25 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked megoshort | 38c | 2,741$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.45 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed megoshort | 20c | 2,729$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.44 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Omega | 60c | 2,275$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.57 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed megoshort | 42c | 2,064$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.67 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed megoshort | 35c | 1,915$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.1 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Omega | 55c | 1,225$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.38 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Omega | 57c | 1,047$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.55 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked megoshort | 38c | 1,007$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.82 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Omega | 60c | 779.03$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.04 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Omega | 54c | 507.3$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.03 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed megoshort | 28c | 326.79$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 134 | 36.6%49 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed megoshort | 54c | 324.07$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked megoshort | 33c | 310.16$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.96 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked megoshort | 36c | 220.17$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.26 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed megoshort | 55c | 220$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked megoshort | 41c | 218$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed megoshort | 43c | 203$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked Omega | 67c | 194.86$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.59 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked megoshort | 31c | 172$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked megoshort | 40c | 165$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked megoshort | 28c | 162.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Omega | 57c | 161.18$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Omega | 57c | 157.12$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.26 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Omega | 39c | 114$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Omega | 65c | 109.51$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked megoshort | 28c | 107.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Omega | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed megoshort | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked megoshort | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a39…fa93backed Omega | 61c | 84.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Omega | 53c | 81.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed Omega | 38c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Omega | 45c | 72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked megoshort | 39c | 71.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Omega | 63c | 71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Omega | 75c | 66.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Omega | 53c | 62.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked megoshort | 45c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Omega | 57c | 53.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Omega | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…9429backed Omega | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Omega | 56c | 41.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 153 | 58.2%89 W · 64 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Omega | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Omega | 71c | 32.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7269…a3edbacked megoshort | 44c | 32.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Omega | 56c | 30.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Omega | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed megoshort | 45c | 28.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Omega | 51c | 26.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed megoshort | 44c | 25.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…6a27backed Omega | 50c | 24.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4c…935ebacked Omega | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs megoshort - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagemegoshort won
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs megoshort - Map 1 Winnermegoshort won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.