Fifa International · resolved market
Will Moldova win on 2026-03-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50fa62a2bfde4106121d1a180a0abc437da83e0179f1f69a98480bb812a54f38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked No | 79c | 1,377$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.24 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 1,330$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.86 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 32c | 1,122$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.39 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed No | 71c | 1,011$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 991.14$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.13 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Yes | 7c | 861.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 774.98$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.77 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 32c | 676.1$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.7 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Yes | 30c | 517.24$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 15c | 486$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.51 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Yes | 32c | 471.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b36…b82ebacked Yes | 5c | 429$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 29c | 425.47$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.47 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 68c | 382.5$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.07 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 350$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b49…178dbacked Yes | 31c | 323.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaccb…123cbacked No | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 68c | 291.09$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.06 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 67c | 258.16$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 16c | 255.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 69c | 203.13$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 16c | 183.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 32c | 166.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 11c | 128.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 27c | 127.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…1ad7backed No | 71c | 121.11$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 30c | 110.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 71c | 109.71$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 32c | 101$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 245 | 37.1%91 W · 154 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 68c | 99.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 77c | 89.07$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 73c | 81.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 68c | 79.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 68c | 79.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 29c | 77.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6be3backed Yes | 33c | 66.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4f…ccbbbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 68c | 59.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 29c | 51.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…3809backed Yes | 32c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 31c | 46.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 31c | 46.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 31c | 46.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf18…179abacked Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 68c | 43.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0922…d953backed Yes | 31c | 43.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 40.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 33c | 37.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed No | 70c | 35.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 117 | 75.2%88 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…99d4backed Yes | 30c | 33.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4024…4f45backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 69c | 22.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d9…0ca5backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 68c | 19.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…2520backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Moldova win on 2026-03-26?this page
- Will Lithuania win on 2026-03-26?Yes won
- Will Moldova vs. Lithuania end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.