Asian League · resolved market
Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5147f145b83f80ae01d2f0bffe9c1900119d1b9fb05bc011dcdd7b3dcff9c03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 78c | 880$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.02 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 30c | 665.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.79 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 77c | 651.01$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.01 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 12c | 500$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 14c | 493.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 68c | 465$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.2 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 15c | 436.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked No | 19c | 429.66$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 68c | 297.13$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.05 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Yes | 47c | 275.94$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.94 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 242.24$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.05 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8414…2ddebacked Yes | 32c | 235$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.8 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 76c | 197.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 70c | 144.62$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…ab7cbacked Yes | 80c | 137.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9027…b562backed Yes | 80c | 111.25$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…e7bebacked No | 69c | 106.77$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 23c | 102.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 29c | 98.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.53 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…3305backed Yes | 70c | 85.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x647d…a061backed Yes | 50c | 81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed No | 31c | 78.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba2d…2f32backed No | 30c | 78.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 16c | 75.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked No | 77c | 65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 50c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…b169backed No | 31c | 56.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…ab76backed No | 30c | 55.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 51c | 47.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 41c | 41.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 72c | 30.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe93f…6b7ebacked No | 78c | 30.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 57c | 28.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes | 53c | 27.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-04-18?No won
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.