Asian League · resolved market
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f195b3b384f53ec13bf94809edfe09baf3ffb9bd15a9bd23000a1cb2e3682f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 37c | 5,342$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.47 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 10c | 1,176$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.54 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 6c | 477.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 19c | 476.68$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.43 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 8c | 405.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.21 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 28c | 395.25$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.6 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 22c | 339.67$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 49c | 328.64$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.22 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 38c | 316.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked Yes | 11c | 299$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 78c | 221$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.38 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked No | 67c | 207.67$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.92 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 28c | 197$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.41 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Yes | 58c | 189.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 19c | 181.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba2d…2f32backed Yes | 17c | 142.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 55c | 139.43$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.24 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Yes | 19c | 124.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 15c | 112.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.55 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Yes | 43c | 111$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 10c | 109.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 75c | 103$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.87 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…b169backed Yes | 18c | 97.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 93.65$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 59c | 89.05$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 39c | 79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Yes | 68c | 74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…b3a6backed Yes | 75c | 56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 30c | 55.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 53.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 70c | 47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 30c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked No | 36c | 40.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 64c | 40.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 69c | 38.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 79c | 37.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 75c | 35.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 80c | 35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 60c | 33.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked No | 63c | 28.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked No | 54c | 28.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1416…84a6backed Yes | 80c | 23.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Yes | 68c | 20.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.