TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-04-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$201,594
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$188,228

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,594 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes32c50,352$16,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,254.8731349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes31c15,945$4,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,972.6130841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes53c12,037$6,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,379.641,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes34c9,691$3,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,297.621,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No70c6,209$4,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.518,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes39c5,787$2,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,275.7928651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54b8…98d8backed Yes0c5,131$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes51c5,067$2,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,598.022,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No67c4,511$3,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.247756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No69c4,443$3,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.9557157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No65c4,405$2,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.571,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No65c4,170$2,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.131,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No63c2,861$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.421,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes59c2,351$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.3718160.2%109 W · 72 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No65c2,230$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77216740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes31c1,885$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.7150746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes24c1,783$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.7923254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No71c1,771$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.0344843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8644…ad01backed Yes35c1,714$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60050%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes35c1,639$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.242250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8101…e7bebacked Yes35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc64c…e605backed Yes25c1,319$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.75922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-52.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa52e…453fbacked No66c1,099$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.641154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes34c1,099$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.641,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No66c1,098$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.162657.7%15 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes13c1,005$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.173920.5%8 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes34c1,002$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.521,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3406643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes34c999.99$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3351,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes28c664.03$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.235,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes33c605.49$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2584943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No63c578.36$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.781,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Yes35c569.93$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.489831.6%31 W · 67 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yes9c515.12$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2111230.4%34 W · 78 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-41%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No68c507.2$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.3427442%115 W · 159 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No65c475$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.2522853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed No65c459.21$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.214555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de7…9ca7backed Yes35c458.8$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+103.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14020846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No66c383.68$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.983,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No67c358.7$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2147758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…0c64backed Yes17c357.13$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607061.4%43 W · 27 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+56.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes25c349.04$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.836339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No65c320.68$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.246357.1%36 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc84f…c9ecbacked No61c316.01$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes13c305.84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4110657.5%61 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked No60c269.88$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.954153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb844…8cf6backed Yes36c261.33$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.53933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70dc…1317backed Yes34c249.54$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.842532%8 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes34c244.97$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.292,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes32c235$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.212828.1%36 W · 92 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes13c229.54$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8449535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Yes31c221.35$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.352962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Yes32c212.78$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0919356%108 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Yes37c208.3$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.278451.2%43 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes36c203.37$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.214936.7%18 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6548922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209452.1%49 W · 45 L+10.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+29.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No62c193$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7148547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No76c168$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1399259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb882…fcabbacked No65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed No65c153.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.791855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea87…8066backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503333.3%11 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Yes30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.617460.8%45 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes60c147.18$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2313373.7%98 W · 35 L+22.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+30.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No63c141.43$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3333745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No66c139.33$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8494848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No68c134.69$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.165058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes38c134.68$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.735935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f13…6a96backed No66c123.28$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.92966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Yes46c109.44$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.838155.6%45 W · 36 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87e5…74f7backed Yes38c106.87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.42425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-59.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes39c106$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6120958.4%122 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes34c104.12$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3525625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c5f…8eadbacked Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3318743.9%82 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed No65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359763.9%62 W · 35 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+47.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No79c98$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2437540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed No65c94.15$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No67c93$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6921349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked No64c91.49$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.491450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes26c91.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.591330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid+12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No67c89$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.375060%30 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes32c84.97$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.552,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96b5…2193backed No71c84.16$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.161580%12 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No68c82.53$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.838861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes33c80.26$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3436757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No66c75.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6944959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb2a…4e1fbacked Yes37c75.62$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.981241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes15c70.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6815945.9%73 W · 86 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No65c69.71$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3510564.8%68 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes38c66.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3924654.9%135 W · 111 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f1…c252backed Yes38c65.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.071533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked No68c65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.935764.9%37 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No69c60.74$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1141256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes18c59.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9620065%130 W · 70 L+18.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.