South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Mazatlán FC vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c4cb8db173793bf173abb126781d6488cba602ce4db4cba9e3189ce0d7c22fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x69d5…7767backed Yes | 66c | 4,432$2,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 28c | 1,621$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.46 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 48c | 1,515$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.53 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked No | 27c | 462.58$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.56 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 58c | 365.47$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.97 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 56c | 363.95$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 69c | 304.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Yes | 49c | 214.71$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.71 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 42c | 209.26$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.43 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 27c | 182$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.86 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 49c | 176.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.52 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 78c | 172$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.2 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 27c | 160.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 73c | 150.16$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.62 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 30c | 145$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.69 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 51c | 138$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 36c | 93.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 12c | 91.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 73c | 88.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 22c | 79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 55c | 77.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Yes | 55c | 68.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 31c | 63.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 69c | 61.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 29c | 58.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…e42abacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 22c | 53.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 43c | 49.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 70c | 45.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed No | 69c | 43.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 39c | 42.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 63c | 41.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 60c | 41.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 30c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed No | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Yes | 67c | 37.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 61c | 35.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc329…0b75backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 75c | 22.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mazatlán FC vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-04-17?No won
- Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-04-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.