TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-04-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,540
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,272

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,540 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No37c7,347$2,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,717.198844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7002…395cbacked Yes70c3,676$2,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.972763%17 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Yes42c2,624$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.132850%14 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbffd…d0b5backed Yes49c2,137$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes62c2,092$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.3146644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No49c1,914$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.6147850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Yes51c1,709$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.281643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No35c1,065$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.0715140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8101…e7bebacked Yes42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5801100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40f6…7bd7backed No54c831.65$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes43c825.21$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.375935.6%21 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc37…bac6backed Yes77c745$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.06540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80e8…dc9abacked Yes73c574.89$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c79…8fffbacked Yes44c532.79$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Yes50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2504551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No22c496.45$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0113049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked No18c458.14$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.331250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed No32c439.52$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14050%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No30c401$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8214843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No56c393$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.0513551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No29c350$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016129.5%18 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No55c299.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1652770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed No57c257.02$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1464233.3%14 W · 28 L-6.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Yes46c246.97$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.361650%8 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No53c222.77$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0711057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed No56c215.41$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-54.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb502…145cbacked Yes46c215.04$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.04728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-45.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0168…0905backed Yes47c203.77$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081752.9%9 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+52.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xee4c…8572backed Yes78c196.99$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No55c188.91$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3743748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc255…62f8backed Yes71c185$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No39c183.77$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7210857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes57c159$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.37560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No54c159$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8616858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No27c151.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4712532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No57c150.36$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.161866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed No39c125$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.12634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-41.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x72be…c581backed Yes72c106.26$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No57c104.49$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2732453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes65c101.63$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.821952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562040%8 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Yes77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2313540.7%55 W · 80 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes52c89.4$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.917254.2%39 W · 33 L+9.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed No58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505048%24 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes65c81.3$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.13354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Yes67c76$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.081060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes54c75.01$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5611050%55 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes51c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.92454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes69c72.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.681163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes57c70$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3011063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes46c69.57$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.72825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-55.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes72c69.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.55246.2%24 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No56c66.07$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3730954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No33c65.61$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5616865.5%110 W · 58 L+22.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No56c61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.161450%7 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes49c58$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.581656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed No57c55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.52060%12 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes44c54.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.255259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee5b…dac8backed Yes79c53.44$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.04683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes49c50.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.649446.8%44 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed No65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.55853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.55244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No56c48.75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0711752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No41c46.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.894055%22 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.458247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.454626.1%12 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x99ad…064ebacked Yes67c45.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.983100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80b3…e5d9backed Yes49c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+51.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7818…0acdbacked Yes43c44.84$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes56c44.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.458353%44 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No56c41.57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.282748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Yes53c39.56$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.768853.4%47 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x165b…711cbacked Yes49c38.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.81450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes79c38.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.011464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes80c37.44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.494124.4%10 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed No29c34.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2140%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes43c34.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.913531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f56…9368backed Yes43c34.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.881361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked No55c33.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.641435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes70c31.27$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.38666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.257536%27 W · 48 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.14858.3%28 W · 20 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c75…45febacked No53c28.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.573951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc86b…675cbacked No57c27.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.75714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-50.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes75c27.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.776352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes44c27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.122948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96b5…2193backed Yes76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed No54c26.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.152055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefad…9c1bbacked Yes47c25.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.53837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No59c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.753560%21 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No57c23.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2610448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked No54c22.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.071172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+36.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85b8…9d57backed No54c22.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.071163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…9d28backed No58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked No57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No57c18.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.442972.4%21 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcea4…8f05backed Yes79c16.57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.