Australian A League · resolved market
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5dc6f8a4d1cb3c13927bb0562d6d3dace83b895f685c33f37fd1194a6efec4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 24c | 6,250$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 6,014$4,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.22 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 9c | 4,989$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.77 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Yes | 31c | 4,482$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 2,443$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.63 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…16c3backed Yes | 31c | 1,399$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,157$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 69c | 953.35$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.54 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 15c | 716.48$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.93 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 22c | 666.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 406.21$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.24 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 8c | 360.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 67c | 327.63$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.09 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 73c | 321.6$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.43 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 219.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 68c | 210$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 70c | 209.55$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 206.14$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 15c | 201$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 68c | 185$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 68c | 177$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40f6…7bd7backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 67c | 153.76$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…25e1backed Yes | 35c | 145.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 67c | 144.05$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 76c | 109$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 108$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 102.11$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 69c | 102$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 91.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164d…50c0backed No | 72c | 85.89$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 21c | 84.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 66c | 75.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 67cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…7e1dbacked No | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 67c | 59.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd16b…e341backed Yes | 35c | 57.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 32c | 50.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…675cbacked Yes | 33c | 47.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…dc7cbacked No | 72c | 46.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 30c | 45.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…305ebacked No | 78c | 44.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 25c | 41.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 34c | 40.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 66c | 40.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -9.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 67c | 25.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 67c | 22.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.